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arxiv: 2603.03245 · v2 · pith:AUWHDF7Snew · submitted 2026-03-03 · 🧮 math.PR · math.ST· stat.TH

Testing the mixture model hypothesis via spectral gap

classification 🧮 math.PR math.STstat.TH
keywords problemmixturetestingeigenvalueeigenvaluesgivehypothesislargest
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In this paper, we study the problem of testing whether or not a given probability measure $\mu$ on $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ can be decomposed as a mixture of two probability measures whose second order statistics are significantly different. We call this the problem of testing the mixture model hypothesis. To tackle it, we introduce a new set of computable orthogonal invariants of $\mu$, namely, the eigenvalues of the 4th moment operator $T_{\mu}$ associated with the measure. We prove that the largest eigenvalue is always an outlier eigenvalue. Further, we show how the first and second largest eigenvalues of $T_{\mu}$ give nonasymptotic bounds for this problem and give a complete resolution of the asymptotic version of the problem under the $L^{8}$-$L^{2}$ equivalence assumption.

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