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arxiv: 2606.08306 · v1 · pith:ZF6LBS47new · submitted 2026-06-06 · 💻 cs.LG · cs.SI

Towards Graph Foundation Models for Dynamics in Complex Networked Systems: Lessons from Super-Spreader Identification in Multilayer Networks

classification 💻 cs.LG cs.SI
keywords dynamicsgeneralisationmodelsnetworktowardsfoundationfourgfms
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Network dynamics - including spreading, influence maximisation, and epidemic modelling - remain largely confined to the transductive paradigm, where models are trained on a single network and cannot be reused on unseen graphs without retraining. We argue that inductive cross-network generalisation is a necessary prerequisite for Graph Foundation Models (GFMs) in this domain and propose four design properties towards this goal. As a proof of concept, ts-net (TopSpreadersNetwork), trained solely on synthetic multilayer networks (MLNs), demonstrates zero-shot generalisation to real-world MLNs of varying size and layer count, outperforming classical heuristics and transductive baselines on three of four metrics. Based on ts-net's performance, we further outline five open challenges towards building GFMs for network dynamics: scale, many-layer generalisation, self-supervised pretraining, cross-task transfer, and node-attribute integration.

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