pith. sign in

arxiv: cond-mat/0004263 · v4 · submitted 2000-04-17 · ❄️ cond-mat.stat-mech · nlin.AO· q-fin.ST

The Nasdaq crash of April 2000: Yet another example of log-periodicity in a speculative bubble ending in a crash

classification ❄️ cond-mat.stat-mech nlin.AOq-fin.ST
keywords nasdaqspeculativebubblecrashanotheraprilcompositeall-time
0
0 comments X
read the original abstract

The Nasdaq Composite fell another $\approx 10 %$ on Friday the 14'th of April 2000 signaling the end of a remarkable speculative high-tech bubble starting in spring 1997. The closing of the Nasdaq Composite at 3321 corresponds to a total loss of over 35% since its all-time high of 5133 on the 10'th of March 2000. Similarities to the speculative bubble preceding the infamous crash of October 1929 are quite striking: the belief in what was coined a ``New Economy'' both in 1929 and presently made share-prices of companies with three digits price-earning ratios soar. Furthermore, we show that the largest draw downs of the Nasdaq are outliers with a confidence level better than 99% and that these two speculative bubbles, as well as others, both nicely fit into the quantitative framework proposed by the authors in a series of recent papers.

This paper has not been read by Pith yet.

discussion (0)

Sign in with ORCID, Apple, or X to comment. Anyone can read and Pith papers without signing in.