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arxiv: hep-ex/0002056 · v1 · submitted 2000-02-22 · ✦ hep-ex · physics.data-an

Uncertainties due to imperfect knowledge of systematic effects: general considerations and approximate formulae

classification ✦ hep-ex physics.data-an
keywords uncertaintyapproachconsiderationsformulaeapproximateapproximationsasymmetricbayesian
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Starting from considerations about meaning and subsequent use of asymmetric uncertainty intervals of experimental results, we review the issue of uncertainty propagation. We show that, using a probabilistic approach (the so-called Bayesian approach), all sources of uncertainty can be included in a logically consistent way. Practical formulae for the first moments of the probability distribution are derived up to second-order approximations.

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