Uncertainties due to imperfect knowledge of systematic effects: general considerations and approximate formulae
classification
✦ hep-ex
physics.data-an
keywords
uncertaintyapproachconsiderationsformulaeapproximateapproximationsasymmetricbayesian
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Starting from considerations about meaning and subsequent use of asymmetric uncertainty intervals of experimental results, we review the issue of uncertainty propagation. We show that, using a probabilistic approach (the so-called Bayesian approach), all sources of uncertainty can be included in a logically consistent way. Practical formulae for the first moments of the probability distribution are derived up to second-order approximations.
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