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arxiv: 0810.4012 · v1 · submitted 2008-10-22 · 🧮 math.ST · stat.TH

Testing for changes in polynomial regression

classification 🧮 math.ST stat.TH
keywords regressiontestpolynomialalternativeapplyasymptoticallybreakchanges
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We consider a nonlinear polynomial regression model in which we wish to test the null hypothesis of structural stability in the regression parameters against the alternative of a break at an unknown time. We derive the extreme value distribution of a maximum-type test statistic which is asymptotically equivalent to the maximally selected likelihood ratio. The resulting test is easy to apply and has good size and power, even in small samples.

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