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Extinction probabilities of branching processes with countably infinitely many types

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arxiv 1211.4129 v1 pith:TCBHDO3D submitted 2012-11-17 math.PR

Extinction probabilities of branching processes with countably infinitely many types

classification math.PR
keywords typesextinctionmanymethodsprocessesbranchingcountablygalton-watson
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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We present two iterative methods for computing the global and partial extinction probability vectors for Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. The probabilistic interpretation of these methods involves truncated Galton-Watson processes with finite sets of types and modified progeny generating functions. In addition, we discuss the connection of the convergence norm of the mean progeny matrix with extinction criteria. Finally, we give a sufficient condition for a population to become extinct almost surely even though its population size explodes on the average, which is impossible in a branching process with finitely many types. We conclude with some numerical illustrations for our algorithmic methods.

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