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Characterizing and modeling an electoral campaign in the context of Twitter: 2011 Spanish Presidential Election as a case study

Physics and Society · Submitted 19 Sep 2013

abstract compiled · 2026-09-23 · no language-model review

The authors' main claim To step in this direction, we have analyzed the user activity in the online social network Twitter, during the 2011 Spanish Presidential electoral process, and found that such activity is correlated with the election results.

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arXiv ID1309.5014 (version 1)
Pith IDCD243S3A, Pith's permanent record of this paper and its review
CitationA. J. Morales, J. Borondo, J. C. Losada, R. M. Benito. "Characterizing and modeling an electoral campaign in the context of Twitter: 2011 Spanish Presidential Election as a case study." arXiv:1309.5014 (2013). https://pith.science/paper/CD243S3A
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Compiled by classifier-1.13-20260917 via OpenRouter, question bank abstract-p1-20260923, 2026-09-23: 1 request, 6,749 input tokens, $0.0003 reported.

What the abstract itself states, as probabilities: claims first 0.07 · states limitation 0.09 · human participants 0.46 · controlled comparison 0.03 · randomized assignment 0.01 · states quantitative result 0.13 · compares with prior results 0.07 · mentions code or data availability 0.02.

The abstract, sentence by sentence

arXiv listing abstract v1. Results and the main claim are underlined; .

Transmitting messages in the most efficient way as possible has always been one of politicians main concerns during electoral processes. Due to the rapidly growing number of users, online social networks have become ideal platforms for politicians to interact with their potential voters. Exploiting the available potential of these tools to maximize their influence over voters is one of politicians actual challenges. To step in this direction, we have analyzed the user activity in the online social network Twitter, during the 2011 Spanish Presidential electoral process, and found that such activity is correlated with the election results. We introduce a new measure to study political support in Twitter, which we call the Relative Support. We have also characterized user behavior by analyzing the structural and dynamical patterns of the complex networks emergent from the mention and retweet networks. Our results suggest that the collective attention is driven by a very small fraction of users. Furthermore we have analyzed the interactions taking place among politicians, observing a lack of debate. Finally we develop a network growth model to reproduce the interactions taking place among politicians.

background contribution method result interpretation main claim

What the classifier reports for each sentence. The number is the probability it gave the label.
#sentencerolethe authors' own workstates the main conclusionstrength
s0 Transmitting messages in the most efficient way as possible has always been one of politicians main concerns during electoral processes. background 1.00 0.03 0.02 asserted 1.00
s1 Due to the rapidly growing number of users, online social networks have become ideal platforms for politicians to interact with their potential voters. background 1.00 0.04 0.02 asserted 1.00
s2 Exploiting the available potential of these tools to maximize their influence over voters is one of politicians actual challenges. background 0.97 0.04 0.03 asserted 1.00
s3 To step in this direction, we have analyzed the user activity in the online social network Twitter, during the 2011 Spanish Presidential electoral process, and found that such activity is correlated with the election results. result 0.55 0.98 0.66 asserted 1.00
s4 We introduce a new measure to study political support in Twitter, which we call the Relative Support. contribution 0.88 0.97 0.06 asserted 1.00
s5 We have also characterized user behavior by analyzing the structural and dynamical patterns of the complex networks emergent from the mention and retweet networks. method 0.88 0.95 0.05 asserted 0.94
s6 Our results suggest that the collective attention is driven by a very small fraction of users. result 0.94 0.93 0.19 hedged possibility 0.99
s7 Furthermore we have analyzed the interactions taking place among politicians, observing a lack of debate. result 0.96 0.93 0.05 asserted 1.00
s8 Finally we develop a network growth model to reproduce the interactions taking place among politicians. contribution 0.54 0.96 0.07 asserted 0.98

What kind of paper the classifier reports this is: empirical study 0.98 · evidence from analysis of existing data 0.98.

What was examined, and what was not

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Every quoted sentence on this record is the authors'. Every label is from Pith's closed vocabulary, with the probability shown beside it. Every number in the measurements table is the authors', checked by code. Record as JSON

The paper
Original abstract

Transmitting messages in the most efficient way as possible has always been one of politicians main concerns during electoral processes. Due to the rapidly growing number of users, online social networks have become ideal platforms for politicians to interact with their potential voters. Exploiting the available potential of these tools to maximize their influence over voters is one of politicians actual challenges. To step in this direction, we have analyzed the user activity in the online social network Twitter, during the 2011 Spanish Presidential electoral process, and found that such activity is correlated with the election results. We introduce a new measure to study political support in Twitter, which we call the Relative Support. We have also characterized user behavior by analyzing the structural and dynamical patterns of the complex networks emergent from the mention and retweet networks. Our results suggest that the collective attention is driven by a very small fraction of users. Furthermore we have analyzed the interactions taking place among politicians, observing a lack of debate. Finally we develop a network growth model to reproduce the interactions taking place among politicians.

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