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Effects of Marine Protected Areas on Overfished Fishing Stocks with Multiple Stable States

Populations and Evolution · Submitted 25 Jan 2015

abstract compiled · 2026-09-23 · no language-model review

The authors' main claim We find that MPAs can have either a positive effect or almost no effect on the recovery of depleted fishing stocks, depending on the fish migration patterns and the fishing policies.

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arXiv ID1501.06145 (version 1)
Pith IDMVBZFRYL, Pith's permanent record of this paper and its review
CitationAkihiko Mougi, Nao Takashina. "Effects of Marine Protected Areas on Overfished Fishing Stocks with Multiple Stable States." arXiv:1501.06145 (2015). https://pith.science/paper/MVBZFRYL
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The compiled record

The paper's own sentences, arranged. Each label is drawn from a closed vocabulary; the number beside it is the probability the classifier gave that label. Numbers in the tables are the authors', checked by code. No sentence in this record was written by a model.

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Compiled by classifier-1.13-20260917 via OpenRouter, question bank abstract-p1-20260923, 2026-09-23: 1 request, 5,479 input tokens, $0.0002 reported.

What the abstract itself states, as probabilities: claims first 0.05 · states limitation 0.67 · human participants 0.02 · controlled comparison 0.17 · randomized assignment 0.01 · states quantitative result 0.05 · compares with prior results 0.94 · mentions code or data availability 0.02.

The abstract, sentence by sentence

arXiv listing abstract v1. Results and the main claim are underlined; .

Marine protected areas (MPAs) have attracted much attention as a tool for sustainable fisheries management, restoring depleted fisheries stocks and maintaining ecosystems. However, even with total exclusion of fishing effort, depleted stocks sometimes show little or no recovery over a long time period. Here, using a mathematical model, we show that multiple stable states may hold the key to understanding the tendency for fisheries stocks to recover because of MPAs. We find that MPAs can have either a positive effect or almost no effect on the recovery of depleted fishing stocks, depending on the fish migration patterns and the fishing policies. MPAs also reinforce ecological resilience, particularly for migratory species. In contrast to previous reports, our results show that MPAs have small or sometimes negative effects on the recovery of sedentary species. Unsuitable MPA planning might result in low effectiveness or even deterioration of the existing condition.

background contribution method result interpretation main claim

What the classifier reports for each sentence. The number is the probability it gave the label.
#sentencerolethe authors' own workstates the main conclusionstrength
s0 Marine protected areas (MPAs) have attracted much attention as a tool for sustainable fisheries management, restoring depleted fisheries stocks and maintaining ecosystems. background 1.00 0.04 0.03 asserted 0.98
s1 However, even with total exclusion of fishing effort, depleted stocks sometimes show little or no recovery over a long time period. background 0.64 0.06 0.04 asserted 0.85
s2 Here, using a mathematical model, we show that multiple stable states may hold the key to understanding the tendency for fisheries stocks to recover because of MPAs. contribution 0.88 0.89 0.43 hedged possibility 0.62
s3 We find that MPAs can have either a positive effect or almost no effect on the recovery of depleted fishing stocks, depending on the fish migration patterns and the fishing policies. result 1.00 0.96 0.64 asserted 0.83
s4 MPAs also reinforce ecological resilience, particularly for migratory species. result 0.91 0.83 0.12 asserted 0.99
s5 In contrast to previous reports, our results show that MPAs have small or sometimes negative effects on the recovery of sedentary species. result 1.00 0.90 0.12 asserted 0.98
s6 Unsuitable MPA planning might result in low effectiveness or even deterioration of the existing condition. interpretation 0.88 0.60 0.11 hedged possibility 0.80

What kind of paper the classifier reports this is: theoretical result 0.77 · evidence from simulation or computation 0.77.

What was examined, and what was not

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  • arXiv listing abstract v1
not examined
  • full text
  • figures and tables
  • references and citing sentences
  • relations to other papers
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  • P abstract
not run
  • S sections
  • T body sentences
  • C citations
  • R cross-paper relations

Every quoted sentence on this record is the authors'. Every label is from Pith's closed vocabulary, with the probability shown beside it. Every number in the measurements table is the authors', checked by code. Record as JSON

The paper
Original abstract

Marine protected areas (MPAs) have attracted much attention as a tool for sustainable fisheries management, restoring depleted fisheries stocks and maintaining ecosystems. However, even with total exclusion of fishing effort, depleted stocks sometimes show little or no recovery over a long time period. Here, using a mathematical model, we show that multiple stable states may hold the key to understanding the tendency for fisheries stocks to recover because of MPAs. We find that MPAs can have either a positive effect or almost no effect on the recovery of depleted fishing stocks, depending on the fish migration patterns and the fishing policies. MPAs also reinforce ecological resilience, particularly for migratory species. In contrast to previous reports, our results show that MPAs have small or sometimes negative effects on the recovery of sedentary species. Unsuitable MPA planning might result in low effectiveness or even deterioration of the existing condition.

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