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NFL Play Prediction

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arxiv 1601.00574 v1 pith:D2MWIY26 submitted 2016-01-04 cs.LG

classification cs.LG
keywords playoutcomewaysanalysisapplicationbestcalldata
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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Based on NFL game data we try to predict the outcome of a play in multiple different ways. An application of this is the following: by plugging in various play options one could determine the best play for a given situation in real time. While the outcome of a play can be described in many ways we had the most promising results with a newly defined measure that we call "progress". We see this work as a first step to include predictive analysis into NFL playcalling.

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