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An Alternative Estimation Method of a Time-Varying Parameter Model
Methodology · Submitted 21 Jul 2017
abstract compiled · 2026-09-23 · no language-model review
The authors' main claim This approach has partly been used by Ito et al. (2014, 2016a,b), and is proven to be efficient because, unlike conventional methods, it does not require Kalman filtering and smoothing procedures, but yields a smoothed estimate that is identical to the Kalman-smoothed estimate.
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The abstract, sentence by sentence
A non-Bayesian, regression-based or generalized least squares (GLS)-based approach is formally proposed to estimate a class of time-varying AR parameter models. This approach has partly been used by Ito et al. (2014, 2016a,b), and is proven to be efficient because, unlike conventional methods, it does not require Kalman filtering and smoothing procedures, but yields a smoothed estimate that is identical to the Kalman-smoothed estimate. Unlike the maximum likelihood estimator, the possibility of the pile-up problem is negligible. In addition, this approach enables us to deal with stochastic volatility models, models with a time-dependent variance-covariance matrix, and models with non-Gaussian errors that allow us to deal with abrupt changes or structural breaks in time-varying parameters.
background contribution method result interpretation main claim
| # | sentence | role | the authors' own work | states the main conclusion | strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| s0 | A non-Bayesian, regression-based or generalized least squares (GLS)-based approach is formally proposed to estimate a class of time-varying AR parameter models. | contribution 0.91 | 0.88 | 0.29 | asserted 1.00 |
| s1 | This approach has partly been used by Ito et al. (2014, 2016a,b), and is proven to be efficient because, unlike conventional methods, it does not require Kalman filtering and smoothing procedures, but yields a smoothed estimate that is identical to the Kalman-smoothed estimate. | contribution 0.40 | 0.54 | 0.30 | asserted 1.00 |
| s2 | Unlike the maximum likelihood estimator, the possibility of the pile-up problem is negligible. | result 0.78 | 0.57 | 0.13 | asserted 0.79 |
| s3 | In addition, this approach enables us to deal with stochastic volatility models, models with a time-dependent variance-covariance matrix, and models with non-Gaussian errors that allow us to deal with abrupt changes or structural breaks in time-varying parameters. | contribution 0.88 | 0.61 | 0.12 | asserted 0.97 |
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The paper
Original abstract
A non-Bayesian, regression-based or generalized least squares (GLS)-based approach is formally proposed to estimate a class of time-varying AR parameter models. This approach has partly been used by Ito et al. (2014, 2016a,b), and is proven to be efficient because, unlike conventional methods, it does not require Kalman filtering and smoothing procedures, but yields a smoothed estimate that is identical to the Kalman-smoothed estimate. Unlike the maximum likelihood estimator, the possibility of the pile-up problem is negligible. In addition, this approach enables us to deal with stochastic volatility models, models with a time-dependent variance-covariance matrix, and models with non-Gaussian errors that allow us to deal with abrupt changes or structural breaks in time-varying parameters.
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How the literature uses it
4 arXiv papers cite this in 13 sentences
Papers citing it · 2 sentences without a confident label
Uses its method or tool 4 papers
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Adopting a method developed by [ref] , we estimate AR coefficients at each period in order to obtain the degree defined in Equation ([ref]) at each period.
Measuring the Time-Varying Market Efficiency in the Prewar and Wartime Japanese Stock Market, 1924-1943 · The Model · 1.00
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We employ a GLS-based time-varying autoregressive (TV-AR) model from [ref] to analyze financial data whose data-generating process is time-varying.
On the Evolution of Cryptocurrency Market Efficiency · GLS-Based Time-Varying AR Model · 1.00
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Adopting a method developed by [ref] , we estimate VAR coefficients at each period in order to obtain the degree defined in Equation ([ref]) at each period.
Discretion versus Policy Rules in Futures Markets: A Case of the Osaka-Dojima Rice Exchange, 1914-1939 · The Model · 1.00
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