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Probabilistic morphisms and Bayesian nonparametrics

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arxiv 1905.11448 v3 pith:QCUOC3CK submitted 2019-05-27 math.ST math.CTmath.PRstat.TH

classification math.STmath.CTmath.PRstat.TH
keywords bayesianspacemorphismsprobabilisticstatisticalcategorydirichletdistribution
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In this paper we develop a functorial language of probabilistic morphisms and apply it to some basic problems in Bayesian nonparametrics. First we extend and unify the Kleisli category of probabilistic morphisms proposed by Lawvere and Giry with the category of statistical models proposed by Chentsov and Morse-Sacksteder. Then we introduce the notion of a Bayesian statistical model that formalizes the notion of a parameter space with a given prior distribution in Bayesian statistics. {We revisit the existence of a posterior distribution, using probabilistic morphisms}. In particular, we give an explicit formula for posterior distributions of the Bayesian statistical model, assuming that the underlying parameter space is a Souslin space and the sample space is a subset in a complete connected finite dimensional Riemannian manifold. Then we give a new proof of the existence of Dirichlet measures over any measurable space using a functorial property of the Dirichlet map constructed by Sethuraman.

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Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. A synthetic approach to Markov kernels, conditional independence and theorems on sufficient statistics

    math.ST 2019-08 conditional novelty 7.0 of 10

    Markov categories provide a synthetic, axiom-based framework in which conditional independence, sufficiency, completeness, and classical theorems such as Basu and Bahadur hold uniformly across many probability theories.

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