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Statistical aspects of nuclear mass models

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arxiv 2002.04151 v3 pith:IFB4BCCW submitted 2020-02-11 nucl-th stat.APstat.ML

classification nucl-thstat.APstat.ML
keywords bayesianmodelnuclearparameterstatisticalanalysisaveragingcalibration
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We study the information content of nuclear masses from the perspective of global models of nuclear binding energies. To this end, we employ a number of statistical methods and diagnostic tools, including Bayesian calibration, Bayesian model averaging, chi-square correlation analysis, principal component analysis, and empirical coverage probability. Using a Bayesian framework, we investigate the structure of the 4-parameter Liquid Drop Model by considering discrepant mass domains for calibration. We then use the chi-square correlation framework to analyze the 14-parameter Skyrme energy density functional calibrated using homogeneous and heterogeneous datasets. We show that a quite dramatic parameter reduction can be achieved in both cases. The advantage of Bayesian model averaging for improving uncertainty quantification is demonstrated. The statistical approaches used are pedagogically described; in this context this work can serve as a guide for future applications.

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  1. A nuclear mass model rooted in chiral effective field theory

    nucl-th 2025-04 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    A Hartree-Fock model with 11 chiral low-energy constants fitted to 18 nuclei reaches 3.5 MeV RMS on 107 even-even nuclei, worse than a liquid-drop fit to the same data.

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