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Mitigating the quantum hype

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arxiv 2202.01925 v3 pith:SEX2V322 submitted 2022-01-23 physics.soc-ph physics.hist-phquant-ph

classification physics.soc-phphysics.hist-phquant-ph
keywords quantumhypesometechnologyhypesresearchinnovationpotential
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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We are in the midst of quantum hype with some excessive claims of quantum computing potential, many vendors' and even some research organizations' exaggerations, and a funding frenzy for very low technology readiness level startups. Governments are contributing to this hype with their large quantum initiatives and their technology sovereignty aspirations. Technology hypes are not bad per se since they create emulation, drive innovations and also contribute to attracting new talents. It works as scientists and vendors deliver progress and innovation on a continuous basis after a so-called peak of expectations. It fails with exaggerated overpromises and underdeliveries that last too long. It could cut short research and innovation funding, creating some sort of quantum winter. After looking at the shape and form of technology and science hypes and driving some lessons from past hypes, we investigate the current quantum hype and its specifics. We find that, although there is some significant uncertainty on the potential to create real scalable quantum computers, the scientific and vendor fields are relatively sane and solid compared to other technology hypes. The vendors hype has some profound and disruptive impact on the organization of fundamental research. Also, quantum technologies comprise other fields like quantum telecommunications and quantum sensing with a higher technology readiness level, which are less prone to hype. We then make some proposals to mitigate the potential negative effects of the current quantum hype including recommendations on scientific communication to strengthen the trust in quantum science, vendor behavior improvements, benchmarking methodologies, public education and putting in place a responsible research and innovation approach.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Quantification of the energy consumption of entanglement distribution

    quant-ph 2025-07 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    The paper proves that entanglement irreversibility implies a non-zero lower bound on the standard energy cost of distributing an ebit through a noisy quantum channel.

  2. Quantum Radar and Research Assessment

    physics.soc-ph 2025-06 conditional novelty 3.0 of 10

    Quantum Radar's range is fundamentally limited by the tiny energy of a single photon, and the publication system that promoted it needs stronger independent assessment.

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