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Compositional Score Modeling for Simulation-based Inference

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arxiv 2209.14249 v3 pith:R356H7ES submitted 2022-09-28 cs.LG stat.ML

classification cs.LGstat.ML
keywords inferenceobservationsmethodsposteriormultipledistributionsdrawbacksestimation
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Neural Posterior Estimation methods for simulation-based inference can be ill-suited for dealing with posterior distributions obtained by conditioning on multiple observations, as they tend to require a large number of simulator calls to learn accurate approximations. In contrast, Neural Likelihood Estimation methods can handle multiple observations at inference time after learning from individual observations, but they rely on standard inference methods, such as MCMC or variational inference, which come with certain performance drawbacks. We introduce a new method based on conditional score modeling that enjoys the benefits of both approaches. We model the scores of the (diffused) posterior distributions induced by individual observations, and introduce a way of combining the learned scores to approximately sample from the target posterior distribution. Our approach is sample-efficient, can naturally aggregate multiple observations at inference time, and avoids the drawbacks of standard inference methods.

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Cited by 1 Pith paper

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  1. Hierarchical Bayesian inference with compositional score modeling for stellar streams

    astro-ph.GA 2026-07 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Combining three stellar streams and the rotation curve with compositional score modeling yields a posterior for the Milky Way potential—mildly oblate inner halo—but the underlying simulator fails a misspecification test.

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