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Machine Learning and the Future of Bayesian Computation

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arxiv 2304.11251 v1 pith:TFB7HQWO submitted 2023-04-21 stat.ML cs.LG

classification stat.MLcs.LG
keywords bayesiancomputationposteriorfutureinferencelearningmachinemodels
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Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty through the posterior distribution. Practical posterior computation is commonly performed via MCMC, which can be computationally infeasible for high dimensional models with many observations. In this article we discuss the potential to improve posterior computation using ideas from machine learning. Concrete future directions are explored in vignettes on normalizing flows, Bayesian coresets, distributed Bayesian inference, and variational inference.

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  1. Predictive Coresets

    stat.CO 2025-02 reject novelty 6.0 of 10

    A predictive-coreset algorithm using Dirichlet-process Pólya-urn simulations selects and weights data subsets to match full-data posterior predictive distributions.

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