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Causal clustering: design of cluster experiments under network interference

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arxiv 2310.14983 v4 pith:2QYEHNVV submitted 2023-10-23 econ.EM math.STstat.MEstat.TH

classification econ.EMmath.STstat.MEstat.TH
keywords clusterclusteringnetworkchoosedatadesigneffectexperiments
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This paper studies the design of cluster experiments to estimate the global treatment effect in the presence of network spillovers. We provide a framework to choose the clustering that minimizes the worst-case mean-squared error of the estimated global effect. We show that optimal clustering solves a novel penalized min-cut optimization problem computed via off-the-shelf semi-definite programming algorithms. Our analysis also characterizes simple conditions to choose between any two cluster designs, including choosing between a cluster or individual-level randomization. We illustrate the method's properties using unique network data from the universe of Facebook's users and existing data from a field experiment.

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Cited by 5 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Robust Signal Maximization in Spillover Experiments

    econ.EM 2026-07 conditional novelty 7.0 of 10

    Under a known linear exposure model, the minimax-optimal spillover experiment correlates treatment shocks by exposure similarity and estimates with a partially whitened, recentered instrumental variable.

  2. Balancing Interference and Correlation in Spatial Experimental Designs: A Causal Graph Cut Approach

    cs.LG 2025-05 conditional novelty 7.0 of 10

    A surrogate for the ATE estimator's MSE is optimized with spectral graph cuts to produce cluster-randomized designs that adapt to the spatial covariance and accommodate moderate-to-large interference.

  3. GAUGER: Generalized Regression Adjustment via Graph-Weighted Exposure-Level Residualization for Design-Based Inference Under Interference

    stat.ME 2026-07 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    GAUGER calibrates outcome predictions against the design-induced graph-weighted variance structure to yield a variance-optimal AIPW estimator under network interference.

  4. Estimation of Treatment Effects Under Nonstationarity via the Truncated Policy Gradient Estimator

    stat.ME 2025-06 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    A new estimator that replaces immediate outcomes with short-horizon outcome sums can estimate treatment effects with lower bias and variance in nonstationary dynamic systems.

  5. A Two-armed Bandit Framework for A/B Testing

    stat.ML 2025-07 conditional novelty 4.0 of 10

    A two-armed bandit based test statistic with permutation aggregation improves power for A/B testing in both i.i.d. and dynamic settings.

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