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Efficient estimation for ergodic diffusion processes sampled at high frequency

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arxiv 2401.04689 v1 pith:AGYPK7K3 submitted 2024-01-09 math.ST stat.MEstat.TH

classification math.STstat.MEstat.TH
keywords conditionsestimatorsdiffusionestimatingfrequencyhighrateefficient
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A general theory of efficient estimation for ergodic diffusion processes sampled at high frequency with an infinite time horizon is presented. High frequency sampling is common in many applications, with finance as a prominent example. The theory is formulated in term of approximate martingale estimating functions and covers a large class of estimators including most of the previously proposed estimators for diffusion processes. Easily checked conditions ensuring that an estimating function is an approximate martingale are derived, and general conditions ensuring consistency and asymptotic normality of estimators are given. Most importantly, simple conditions are given that ensure rate optimality and efficiency. Rate optimal estimators of parameters in the diffusion coefficient converge faster than estimators of drift coefficient parameters because they take advantage of the information in the quadratic variation. The conditions facilitate the choice among the multitude of estimators that have been proposed for diffusion models. Optimal martingale estimating functions in the sense of Godambe and Heyde and their high frequency approximations are, under weak conditions, shown to satisfy the conditions for rate optimality and efficiency. This provides a natural feasible method of constructing explicit rate optimal and efficient estimating functions by solving a linear equation.

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  1. Adaptive Elastic-Net estimation for sparse diffusion processes

    math.ST 2024-12 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Adaptive Elastic-Net for ergodic diffusions achieves mixed-rate oracle properties and non-asymptotic l2 and prediction error bounds.

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