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Multivariate Gaussian Approximation for Random Forest via Region-based Stabilization

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arxiv 2403.09960 v4 pith:HTDM5GUI submitted 2024-03-15 math.ST math.PRstat.MLstat.TH

classification math.STmath.PRstat.MLstat.TH
keywords processrandomapproximationforestgaussianregion-basedresultbounds
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abstract

We derive Gaussian approximation bounds for $k$-Potential Nearest Neighbor ($k$-PNN) based random forest predictions based on a set of training points given by a Poisson process under fairly mild regularity assumptions on the data generating process. Our approach is based on the key observation that $k$-PNN based random forest predictions satisfy a certain geometric property called region-based stabilization. We also compare the rates with those of $k$-nearest neighbor-based random forests, highlighting a form of universality in our result. In the process of developing our results, we also establish a probabilistic result on multivariate Gaussian approximation bounds for general functionals of Poisson process that are region-based stabilizing. This general result makes use of the Malliavin-Stein method, and is potentially applicable to various related statistical problems.

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  1. Gaussian and Bootstrap Approximation for Matching-based Average Treatment Effect Estimators

    math.ST 2024-12 conditional novelty 7.0 of 10

    Matching-based ATE estimators have explicit non-asymptotic Gaussian and multiplier-bootstrap approximation bounds with rates in sample size, number of matches, and treatment balance.

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