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$\mathtt{emuflow}$: Normalising Flows for Joint Cosmological Analysis

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arxiv 2409.01407 v1 pith:OL642XAG submitted 2024-09-02 astro-ph.CO cs.LG

classification astro-ph.COcs.LG
keywords cosmologicaldatasetsexperimentsjointnormalisingparameterconstraintsdistribution
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Given the growth in the variety and precision of astronomical datasets of interest for cosmology, the best cosmological constraints are invariably obtained by combining data from different experiments. At the likelihood level, one complication in doing so is the need to marginalise over large-dimensional parameter models describing the data of each experiment. These include both the relatively small number of cosmological parameters of interest and a large number of "nuisance" parameters. Sampling over the joint parameter space for multiple experiments can thus become a very computationally expensive operation. This can be significantly simplified if one could sample directly from the marginal cosmological posterior distribution of preceding experiments, depending only on the common set of cosmological parameters. In this paper, we show that this can be achieved by emulating marginal posterior distributions via normalising flows. The resulting trained normalising flow models can be used to efficiently combine cosmological constraints from independent datasets without increasing the dimensionality of the parameter space under study. We show that the method is able to accurately describe the posterior distribution of real cosmological datasets, as well as the joint distribution of different datasets, even when significant tension exists between experiments. The resulting joint constraints can be obtained in a fraction of the time it would take to combine the same datasets at the level of their likelihoods. We construct normalising flow models for a set of public cosmological datasets of general interests and make them available, together with the software used to train them, and to exploit them in cosmological parameter inference.

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  1. Approximating non-Gaussian Bayesian partitions with normalising flows: statistics, inference and application to cosmology

    astro-ph.CO 2025-01 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    Normalising flows can evaluate Bayesian partition functions, entropies, and lower-order moments of non-Gaussian posteriors, but the proposed derivative-based flow expansion fails for skewness and kurtosis.

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