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An Uncertainty-Aware Data-Driven Predictive Controller for Hybrid Power Plants

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arxiv 2502.13333 v1 pith:APSDGVE3 submitted 2025-02-18 eess.SY cs.CEcs.SYmath.OC

classification eess.SYcs.CEcs.SYmath.OC
keywords predictivedata-drivenpowercontrollerdemandhybridanalysiscontrol
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Given the advancements in data-driven modeling for complex engineering and scientific applications, this work utilizes a data-driven predictive control method, namely subspace predictive control, to coordinate hybrid power plant components and meet a desired power demand despite the presence of weather uncertainties. An uncertainty-aware data-driven predictive controller is proposed, and its potential is analyzed using real-world electricity demand profiles. For the analysis, a hybrid power plant with wind, solar, and co-located energy storage capacity of 4 MW each is considered. The analysis shows that the predictive controller can track a real-world-inspired electricity demand profile despite the presence of weather-induced uncertainties and be an intelligent forecaster for HPP performance.

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