Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Forecasting Rare Language Model Behaviors

As of 20 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 0 of 0 outbound references and 10 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2502.16797.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2502.16797 v1

Coverage vector

measured 0 of 0 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 10 of 10 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-20T06:33:59.587034+00:00

measured 10 of 10 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-06T19:59:52.057920Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: pith, observed 2026-07-09T18:16:25.802082Z

Reference resolution

0 of 0 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy0
unresolved0
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

No outbound reference observations are available for this paper version.

Pith citing papers

Observation a77626c0-2155-4bb1-a46b-0fae5ac0f4fe · inbound

Model Collapse Is Not a Bug but a Feature in Machine Unlearning for LLMs cites this paper.

Model Collapse Is Not a Bug but a Feature in Machine Unlearning for LLMs Forecasting Rare Language Model Behaviors

Reference 15

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T19:59:52.057920Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation bf13226e-5d21-4e73-8125-4b43cc23c3d4 · inbound

Rare Event Analysis of Large Language Models cites this paper.

Rare Event Analysis of Large Language Models Forecasting Rare Language Model Behaviors

Reference 34

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T03:52:49.990615Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 51b34b33-1a98-47eb-916b-4f43fb39e641 · inbound

Estimating Tail Risks in Language Model Output Distributions cites this paper.

Estimating Tail Risks in Language Model Output Distributions Forecasting Rare Language Model Behaviors

Reference 22

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T19:16:08.138384Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-20T06:33:59.587034+00:00.

Observation 350108dd-d462-451e-a3bc-dc5e3e26a162 · inbound

Comprehensive AI governance requires addressing non-model gains cites this paper.

Comprehensive AI governance requires addressing non-model gains Forecasting Rare Language Model Behaviors

Reference 53

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-01T08:15:31.676008Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-20T06:33:59.587034+00:00.

Observation 242584cc-c5e9-476f-947b-41cdc6bd40d0 · inbound

Forecasting Future Behavior as a Learning Task cites this paper.

Forecasting Future Behavior as a Learning Task Forecasting Rare Language Model Behaviors

Reference 144

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T06:07:41.310154Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-20T06:33:59.587034+00:00.

Observation 0eb8b5ef-fd15-4cfc-b700-bb6063f7e0a2 · inbound

SCARCE: Scalable Cascade Analysis for Rare-event Characterisation via Embeddings cites this paper.

SCARCE: Scalable Cascade Analysis for Rare-event Characterisation via Embeddings Forecasting Rare Language Model Behaviors

Reference 20

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-06-30T07:04:20.810426Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-20T06:33:59.587034+00:00.

Observation 4aa7ec13-dbbd-4021-8729-7a44aa8965c8 · inbound

Where do LLMs Fall Short in CBT-Guided Affective Reasoning? cites this paper.

Where do LLMs Fall Short in CBT-Guided Affective Reasoning? Forecasting Rare Language Model Behaviors

Reference 35

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-12T06:23:49.752475Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 2f698325-05ea-4d29-a0f7-33574204f881 · inbound

Predicting LLM Safety Before Release by Simulating Deployment cites this paper.

Predicting LLM Safety Before Release by Simulating Deployment Forecasting Rare Language Model Behaviors

Reference 17

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-09T18:16:25.803524Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-20T06:33:59.587034+00:00.

Observation e1cbfbb8-40ea-4be7-827f-d8ba39e9182b · inbound

Sound Probabilistic Safety Bounds for Large Language Models cites this paper.

Sound Probabilistic Safety Bounds for Large Language Models Forecasting Rare Language Model Behaviors

Reference 16

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-01T10:22:40.441558Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0fc2dc87-80cb-4a90-a249-7cdfc84e01d0 · inbound

Safeguards Based on Copyable Context Cannot Provide Reliable Safety for LLMs cites this paper.

Safeguards Based on Copyable Context Cannot Provide Reliable Safety for LLMs Forecasting Rare Language Model Behaviors

Reference 37

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T22:25:22.289261Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.