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Ground-based Observations of Temporal Variation of Cosmic Ray Spectrum during Forbush Decreases

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arxiv 2505.08248 v1 pith:TUQEPO4I submitted 2025-05-13 astro-ph.HE

Ground-based Observations of Temporal Variation of Cosmic Ray Spectrum during Forbush Decreases

classification astro-ph.HE
keywords spacedecreasesduringground-basedmonitorneutronobservationsavailable
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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Observations of temporary Forbush decreases (FDs) in the Galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux due to passage of solar storms are useful for space weather studies and alerts. Here we introduce techniques that use global networks of ground-based neutron monitors and muon detectors to measure variations of GCR rigidity spectra in space during FDs by: A) fitting count rate decreases for power-law rigidity spectra in space with anisotropy up to second order, and B) using the "leader fraction" derived from a single neutron monitor. We demonstrate that both provide consistent results for hourly spectral index variations for five major FDs and they agree with daily space-based data when available from AMS-02. We have also made the neutron monitor leader fraction publicly available in real time. This work verifies that ground-based observations can be used to precisely monitor GCR spectral variation over a wide range of rigidities during space weather events, with results in real time or from short-term post-analysis.

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