Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data

As of 8 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 49 of 49 outbound references and 1 inbound Pith citation observation for arXiv:2505.22388.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2505.22388 v1

Coverage vector

measured 49 of 49 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:21.888898Z

measured 50 of 50 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00

measured 1 of 1 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-05-21T07:21:14.988001Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-05-21T07:24:02.532906Z

Reference resolution

49 of 49 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy14
unresolved35
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation f2be5dca-5d62-427a-a33c-f1bb2b3ec8a5 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:29.906459Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 0a5c8b2f-78be-488b-a3ae-96152ef9d8b5 · outbound

This paper cites Diamond, and J.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Diamond, and J

Reference 2

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:29.717744Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation a31544ac-6ddb-4bb3-b349-338ceec86458 · outbound

This paper cites Diamond, and J.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Diamond, and J

Reference 3

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:29.553523Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation bbcb7d97-90ae-41f0-87cd-103c172f0671 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:29.365405Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 36898383-c5d3-44be-8cf1-ef6d67afadcc · outbound

This paper cites Johnson, A.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Johnson, A

Reference 5

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:29.217677Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 972c4b6d-03a8-4d16-a459-8857989c3379 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:29.047189Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 607aafff-31ce-4d0e-a953-5dc11aec8d2b · outbound

This paper cites Athey, D.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Athey, D

Reference 7

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:28.882670Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 72f3dceb-1d12-4712-aa52-70bb6e6238f7 · outbound

This paper cites Castell \'o n, and T.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Castell \'o n, and T

Reference 8

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:28.773416Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 73d66afa-030c-4b80-b900-009eca8bf963 · outbound

This paper cites Bayati, N.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Bayati, N

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:17.905665Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation eb3a8fee-d759-4524-82f1-c060a8d11ffc · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:28.659301Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation fb0232a9-2851-4c75-8c5d-7f36434f85d7 · outbound

This paper cites Li, and M.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Li, and M

Reference 11

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:28.523216Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 4d61ae15-a4e9-4f24-9b5e-64dab42cad5f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:18.282257Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c0436794-60c3-45db-8dc7-874892a2aee3 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:18.368590Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation b3beacc6-1390-420d-ab53-5a1a66055789 · outbound

This paper cites Pfeifer, and K.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Pfeifer, and K

Reference 14

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:28.390519Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation aaf71773-1584-4f2e-8097-a1cae034f3ba · outbound

This paper cites Feller, and J.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Feller, and J

Reference 15

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:28.293349Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 68bee103-6316-44b5-aa4d-61348e31eb04 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 16

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:28.185625Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 76206ce3-c41c-494b-ab87-823decf78020 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:28.065678Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation da0bfb51-624d-4100-8144-08084631dc63 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 18

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:27.936555Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 7bd10b2e-d376-43d2-ac92-c21171dc323a · outbound

This paper cites Masini, and M.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Masini, and M

Reference 19

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:27.546645Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation e5821d69-0f48-4485-b021-a4868c10ec23 · outbound

This paper cites Garcia, and L.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Garcia, and L

Reference 20

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:27.414292Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 631df62f-fbef-42ff-ba87-ba91f1590dad · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:27.304884Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 54eb9483-2ca0-4336-905a-9e14352ceabb · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:27.136546Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation f51c1656-6fd4-4990-bbf9-58e884fd94a2 · outbound

This paper cites crown jewel.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data crown jewel

Reference 23

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Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 751c038d-0a02-4b8c-9929-37cd7546b47a · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 24

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:26.547445Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 027bedb6-0f06-4132-a924-06c9d3d1ebde · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 25

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:26.417035Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 34865435-e8e6-4cc2-9e56-3dcd10725bc4 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 26

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:26.255242Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 0bcffe70-4fce-4653-808c-614594350f45 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 27

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:26.084031Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 5cd08eb6-9d07-42c7-ac97-8e1062bd9816 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 28

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:25.794621Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 765c9fdf-e889-4ead-afb1-87f4e6ca275e · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 29

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:25.526155Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 5b704204-67a5-48e6-bf63-6445ab6d101c · outbound

This paper cites Shi, and Q.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Shi, and Q

Reference 30

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:25.344615Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation c9f6f054-1ecc-4cf6-9fb8-02ca71871bcf · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 31

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:25.113371Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation dd551c91-dc7a-4c3e-aab7-a2f8fdb799e2 · outbound

This paper cites Shen, and Q.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Shen, and Q

Reference 32

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:25.004795Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation cb34ae05-5f08-470c-85ed-a74de397e1e3 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 33

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:24.862063Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

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Observation 8eb408fc-c541-4d88-ad85-c5afdc0b5a12 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 34

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:24.571401Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation f95ba1d6-d29a-4dac-8f8c-00e754f4e148 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 35

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:24.440392Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 28590d07-e321-4cf1-89b9-3457e8b464ea · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 36

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:24.264236Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 74ad0836-ed6d-4644-a1a6-3f871065a05d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 37

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:24.013543Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 2c1de1f3-ccda-4733-bb06-ec47eebb753f · outbound

This paper cites Seidel, F.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Seidel, F

Reference 38

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:23.858284Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 1d99ebbe-15ee-4c20-b8fe-347f892306b1 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 39

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:23.678567Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 945ccecd-6529-421b-952f-cd4b728bdc59 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 40

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Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation e1adc0fc-5654-4f9b-a269-e09601ccd7e5 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 41

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:23.461509Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 336b8277-bc02-4133-af46-baced45e9644 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 42

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:23.309009Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 68b948ed-1795-45e4-a676-a6fd8d4821f3 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 43

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:23.096908Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation ccae913c-9435-448a-adc8-98498b45a425 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 44

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:22.885332Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 13e40963-cf7e-4093-9804-15fcb684c00d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 45

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:22.699608Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 178ec95e-88dd-49f8-a184-8917ab159f02 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 46

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:22.552168Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 721993b7-dfbb-49e0-9db9-ad1e71ba92de · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 47

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:22.381227Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 006ad7d5-5a34-49ed-89bd-6fa0bdbb9297 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 48

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:22.220595Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Observation 9e6c409a-d14d-48a9-96c0-18f85d657433 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data Unresolved cited work

Reference 49

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T13:18:22.029912Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

Pith citing papers

Observation 9c2c7a87-f764-45c3-8927-82b14b83dad6 · inbound

The Harmonic Synthetic Control Method cites this paper.

The Harmonic Synthetic Control Method A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data

Reference 26

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-21T07:24:02.535388Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.