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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey

As of 7 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 16 of 16 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2506.23154.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2506.23154 v1

Coverage vector

measured 16 of 16 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.906266Z

measured 16 of 16 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

16 of 16 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact2
  • verified fuzzy1
  • unresolved10
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier2
  • metadata mismatch1

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 921a0b20-0e0b-4eea-8b5b-6c2997389e0f · outbound

This paper cites Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Models.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Models

Reference 6

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.287683Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.287683Z digest=sha256:fa922fd900bf04798c8f3961aaf4bb873a209f818b66f78f4b6f440ea8c497f1

Observation 4d0fe8a7-0b93-4743-a45e-a17e4f1714a0 · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Macroeconomics 67, 103266.URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0164070420301907,doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Journal of Macroeconomics 67, 103266.URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0164070420301907,doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j

Reference 7

Resolution
malformed identifier
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.338916Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.338916Z digest=sha256:2e6ae8c2eb898b6c417b1db864a6ddc74ad6f8a886a9b52eeeff71988da41871

Observation 64b4263c-c711-4252-a442-a0ede64fb296 · outbound

This paper cites TimeCMA: Towards LLM-Empowered Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Cross-Modality Alignment.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey TimeCMA: Towards LLM-Empowered Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Cross-Modality Alignment

Reference 8

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.384698Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.384698Z digest=sha256:083957086a104803d0ea65e0f40cc6e3915c607e531e5a1c42be8d0d7e4ff33e

Observation 12e09c67-67cb-4726-9a63-d2b8fc67e563 · outbound

This paper cites On the Risk of Misinformation Pollution with Large Language Models.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey On the Risk of Misinformation Pollution with Large Language Models

Reference 9

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.456154Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.456154Z digest=sha256:8523d4ebdd489f75630c769c1c68eebfc5b2d76c1b491d7e139b6789c02c4397

Observation de56e2c9-abc3-436a-b6c5-8273758f3c6e · outbound

This paper cites The Trade-off between Universality and Label Efficiency of Representations from Contrastive Learning.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey The Trade-off between Universality and Label Efficiency of Representations from Contrastive Learning

Reference 10

Resolution
metadata mismatch
local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:50.476976Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.515294Z digest=sha256:8d80b16d5ebd28199d3cd047e42844097dc554326b334e6d46fae60da80c393b

Observation c6dfc558-12c4-4eb7-b41b-f1b1a0b4312d · outbound

This paper cites JMIRMedInform12,e55318.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey JMIRMedInform12,e55318

Reference 12

Resolution
malformed identifier
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.659692Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.659692Z digest=sha256:3006a0a688c59ae9dfc91d14a882313397103b994d5cee8187b3e45c017e4cbc

Observation 601037e6-7528-4aa7-a902-9d368e46e5c5 · outbound

This paper cites LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models

Reference 14

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unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.760925Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.760925Z digest=sha256:bbb2c40c9c47ef8f6576d692bc2ffa0ea65682fe276c6c0860e47c73c79fe108

Observation ff16ec32-3610-4833-9fa2-9991bb9157d1 · outbound

This paper cites A Continued Pretrained LLM Approach for Automatic Medical Note Generation.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey A Continued Pretrained LLM Approach for Automatic Medical Note Generation

Reference 16

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.906266Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.906266Z digest=sha256:6cee4e8318a7eb8775ff5408d23fcf50b468422a29840fe9a0e2ccea38069191

Observation c5da6faf-eec9-43d9-9be7-9a60ef4ca014 · outbound

This paper cites DeepSeek LLM: Scaling Open-Source Language Models with Longtermism.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey DeepSeek LLM: Scaling Open-Source Language Models with Longtermism

Reference 1969

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.068896Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.068896Z digest=sha256:440a94a7f6f5da13352f683c64463cc4d78e1e86f971e909d2192905ec4ca3a1

Observation e4412dec-f7b1-4e54-978e-1152ff3f3477 · outbound

This paper cites Qwen2.5 Technical Report.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Qwen2.5 Technical Report

Reference 1971

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.842903Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.842903Z digest=sha256:eed12d130a74f107f0b9cf0075868c10245a4a18f14a7a3165204b0e65ffe2f0

Observation 80e03f36-b50a-4646-9c11-edfb085ccd1b · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Forecasting 23, 405–430.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Journal of Forecasting 23, 405–430

Reference 2004

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:50.075213Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.708222Z digest=sha256:dbe99b1f90fff269702e42408a328195777b1ac112ac1ff2850b5c663875b311

Observation 8faf883c-0f6a-4a14-9e41-a50a104682a4 · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Monetary Economics 60, 967–982.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Journal of Monetary Economics 60, 967–982

Reference 2013

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:50.296298Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:48.970556Z digest=sha256:0446a1aef2de53d97ce60c8ff60b82f740cf7cbdbbbd67705587cbc70fc53bc8

Observation 68ab8b17-1355-46a4-9b15-41c39b2c5226 · outbound

This paper cites nature 529, 484–489.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey nature 529, 484–489

Reference 2016

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:50.886252Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.582645Z digest=sha256:da24737dfa107a0b63ef348e9d329acb2790533b481c8dcf6835f6ca78203bde

Observation 167bf148-68d9-44c7-b24e-088951e6382b · outbound

This paper cites What Does ChatGPT Make of Historical Stock Returns? Extrapolation and Miscalibration in LLM Stock Return Forecasts.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey What Does ChatGPT Make of Historical Stock Returns? Extrapolation and Miscalibration in LLM Stock Return Forecasts

Reference 2021

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.174593Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.174593Z digest=sha256:ae54ea2594794c4e378b9430c66a0c16f74a408df3bf9a40b26f9874d3a12305

Observation e9110dea-3c7e-46e9-86eb-90068127c2b6 · outbound

This paper cites Qwen Technical Report.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Qwen Technical Report

Reference 2023

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.002761Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.002761Z digest=sha256:40eec0668a641c10529a8ab3049234dde7d7d4dbdd372372ecc6776a6b268870

Observation a978c508-02a9-481e-9925-982135741f77 · outbound

This paper cites Medical mT5: An Open-Source Multilingual Text-to-Text LLM for The Medical Domain.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Medical mT5: An Open-Source Multilingual Text-to-Text LLM for The Medical Domain

Reference 2024

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.221869Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.221869Z digest=sha256:074430559bd3b69bfd3a76017d66fff1a88990505917ad3e6b5bb96a095b20d9

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.