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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems

As of 19 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 18 of 18 outbound references and 4 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2512.01556.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2512.01556 v3

Coverage vector

measured 18 of 18 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-03T19:18:19.610130Z

measured 22 of 22 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00

measured 4 of 4 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-12T14:59:32.062470Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-05-20T05:23:03.717043Z

Reference resolution

18 of 18 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy0
  • unresolved17
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier1
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 90b0af77-0693-4aeb-a889-98018cb19c6b · outbound

This paper cites A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantification.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantification

Reference 1

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:17.908057Z digest=sha256:4085cbd536ab00f54f7481990617e200b7d8b98c8828cbc48ee3b649029c8d77

Observation a5da0a5a-1021-410c-bd1f-8a99848b54ba · outbound

This paper cites UProp: Investigating the Uncertainty Propagation of LLMs in Multi-Step Agentic Decision-Making.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems UProp: Investigating the Uncertainty Propagation of LLMs in Multi-Step Agentic Decision-Making

Reference 4

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:18.248005Z digest=sha256:5019d76e81b4f093fa697cceb00c84565a725580bb16685ed283e67059d657e5

Observation 4afea87d-0291-48e4-9aab-a23ac6065884 · outbound

This paper cites Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know

Reference 6

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:18.412023Z digest=sha256:bb43fc43a231bf8c4af7f52f9ae3301f011b604133d4eaa16b2ddc29351725e6

Observation 66fa8dbe-e3f5-4435-a88d-812d84907fec · outbound

This paper cites DistilBERT, a distilled version of BERT: smaller, faster, cheaper and lighter.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems DistilBERT, a distilled version of BERT: smaller, faster, cheaper and lighter

Reference 9

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:18.685279Z digest=sha256:e88b2b8f02c06fbf70427dc09e264fc8c1c27207257de925b0ba794ebf97106c

Observation abe3b3d0-a892-471b-bd4c-0373a531464e · outbound

This paper cites Com- monsenseQA: A question answering challenge targeting commonsense knowledge.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems Com- monsenseQA: A question answering challenge targeting commonsense knowledge

Reference 10

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:18.785142Z digest=sha256:13ba710357fdc9c97151a8bf30889c16025a94e8c597fb3b27d6e3cb0646e302

Observation c9fbb055-9dac-4648-8cc1-e1cba22082b6 · outbound

This paper cites MM-Vet v2: A Challenging Benchmark to Evaluate Large Multimodal Models for Integrated Capabilities.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems MM-Vet v2: A Challenging Benchmark to Evaluate Large Multimodal Models for Integrated Capabilities

Reference 13

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:19.182308Z digest=sha256:261bedb74a371b49715ca5f9a6efa327b76fabe8c2693a873dc3603e0f385aa1

Observation b866bcbb-00d0-46e3-a260-29542582de89 · outbound

This paper cites VL-Uncertainty: Detecting Hallucination in Large Vision-Language Model via Uncertainty Estimation.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems VL-Uncertainty: Detecting Hallucination in Large Vision-Language Model via Uncertainty Estimation

Reference 14

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:19.282444Z digest=sha256:de0a28e116684f1453bca1e9060cc575f33ca119d0c3122aa2d3176ae9aaddad

Observation 76d3eac5-f89a-4e3c-bbf8-425d36eb8633 · outbound

This paper cites -Instruct.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems -Instruct

Reference 15

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:19.370954Z digest=sha256:cd8bc01518ddf141a064348595d8ec4116102def3579249e2c688d35e3197379

Observation 69178b65-84fc-42ab-84fc-71f192c0fbeb · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems Unresolved cited work

Reference 16

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:19.432836Z digest=sha256:4878300ea1266a5811bcf2881ea4d086a3d1ced45b70cefa02bc702474821bca

Observation adf43976-d581-4b2f-a3fb-f7e24e8f3180 · outbound

This paper cites No feasible threshold for risk levelα.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems No feasible threshold for risk levelα

Reference 17

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:19.497439Z digest=sha256:7874bce8c1a7d916b274710e49122d55966cede85fd9fe397eb1db6e6c0a639a

Observation a4388a7a-e3c9-4c7a-8900-ede05350c3ae · outbound

This paper cites Similar trends are observed at α= 0.10 and for the Qwen2.5-14B pairing, where routing yields both higher coverage and more correct acceptances than either individual model.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems Similar trends are observed at α= 0.10 and for the Qwen2.5-14B pairing, where routing yields both higher coverage and more correct acceptances than either individual model

Reference 21

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:19.610130Z digest=sha256:a397aac712a13fcd464de1e921ad2e5f53232d4a2fc404157c137417ca234e72

Observation d6cb9840-2720-466c-9fd8-3498b4b6a124 · outbound

This paper cites Selective labeling with false discovery rate control.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems Selective labeling with false discovery rate control

Reference 1963

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:18.358234Z digest=sha256:5cfd1a021506c312e5650fa3ddafc75f1b95999e9bc6d1e3af551e371c205f6f

Observation 63e01622-a6f0-4fab-a46a-35e66c0dd09f · outbound

This paper cites LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models

Reference 2019

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:18.961940Z digest=sha256:2a25274108bab0f60489a419d1f11107df03537af6fc2f1b691e1b8546e435d7

Observation 71adef0c-dbe0-4566-af9b-b08f7a78d1e1 · outbound

This paper cites Inductive confidence machines for regression.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems Inductive confidence machines for regression

Reference 2021

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:18.587523Z digest=sha256:d26bf312348f8d25ebaf5958198fff99c5d5edb10f390471365442b21ff84016

Observation 33528af7-b591-40a4-991d-727864071927 · outbound

This paper cites D., Roy, A., Matejek, B., Acharya, M., Elenius, D., Berenbeim, A.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems D., Roy, A., Matejek, B., Acharya, M., Elenius, D., Berenbeim, A

Reference 2022

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:18.477092Z digest=sha256:e508dd5a94c1d3c0b0cfe6262fbe4975492539442cc50d3212397b09ce3c9cf8

Observation 7a278c0f-3391-4341-9582-ae89fc33b755 · outbound

This paper cites Openchat: Advancing open-source language models with mixed-quality data.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems Openchat: Advancing open-source language models with mixed-quality data

Reference 2023

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:19.062204Z digest=sha256:454e348bca872eea454ea8a4480eb07ed77fd28a0b274e3405b36430b80cb963

Observation c5421787-3fb7-41d6-81d0-dda8346e42d1 · outbound

This paper cites The challenge of uncertainty quantification of large language models in medicine.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems The challenge of uncertainty quantification of large language models in medicine

Reference 2024

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:18.058963Z digest=sha256:93ae59288a93263379b330f3f3433216c82a1cbb900516988186167fdf5a6b63

Observation df40da01-97bc-4eab-9812-ad868cfb61d4 · outbound

This paper cites Qwen Technical Report.

LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems Qwen Technical Report

Reference 2025

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T19:18:18.174444Z digest=sha256:e6720d5cd2789deb7ffc942f150f8cdc9f1377acdd10f7bea5bd73d23bffc875

Pith citing papers

Observation 56ee7c92-10aa-4d78-a6e8-cabf32e8d458 · inbound

SCOPE: Selective Conformal Optimized Pairwise LLM Judging cites this paper.

SCOPE: Selective Conformal Optimized Pairwise LLM Judging LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems

Reference 404

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-02T23:42:35.447335Z digest=sha256:bf53d61524f2dd1f18f27228107d0486afe32a3ab23f0df1194e531fd48dfef0

Observation ffa5d302-090e-42c0-b4a6-1ee992db9770 · inbound

BalanceRAG: Joint Risk Calibration for Cascaded Retrieval-Augmented Generation cites this paper.

BalanceRAG: Joint Risk Calibration for Cascaded Retrieval-Augmented Generation LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems

Reference 11

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arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-27T02:05:08.741595Z

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-05-20T05:19:45.438362Z digest=sha256:794e540968902251e4f2fd7e7ba2295346ba701d274593e712aabe8ab05f21a4

Observation d5fba390-da7c-46ba-9e99-1eb3f0940279 · inbound

Uncertainty-Aware Abstention in Large Language Models with Provable Alignment Guarantees cites this paper.

Uncertainty-Aware Abstention in Large Language Models with Provable Alignment Guarantees LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems

Reference 25

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-07-11T19:15:37.565998Z digest=sha256:a4cf083589ab7262f95148a256dbe28f5e48c9957e943867296709fd3cc83b21

Observation b899b498-51cc-4ee2-8ca6-956fc413d5de · inbound

Certify or Refuse: A Cross-Model Map for Selective Risk Control with Coverage Floors under Covariate Shift cites this paper.

Certify or Refuse: A Cross-Model Map for Selective Risk Control with Coverage Floors under Covariate Shift LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems

Reference 54

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source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-12T14:59:32.062470Z digest=sha256:692373af78e296eb818793ab363e9f145b8f479be794ac41fe150b18dadc7e92