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arxiv: 2602.19771 · v3 · submitted 2026-02-23 · 🧮 math.NT · math.AG

Recognition: 2 theorem links

· Lean Theorem

The stacky Batyrev-Manin conjecture and modular curves

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Pith reviewed 2026-05-15 20:25 UTC · model grok-4.3

classification 🧮 math.NT math.AG
keywords stacky Batyrev-Manin conjecturemodular stacksX_0(N)naive heightDeligne-Rapoport stacksquare root stackarithmetic geometry
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The pith

The stacky Batyrev-Manin conjecture holds for the naive height on the modular stacks X_0(N) over the rationals for N where the coarse space is the projective line.

A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.

The authors prove that a generalized Batyrev-Manin conjecture for stacks applies to the Deligne-Rapoport stack of elliptic curves with cyclic N-isogeny. They do this specifically when the base field is Q and for those N making the coarse moduli space a projective line. Along the way they explicitly realize each such stack as a square root stack over a stacky curve. This provides a first set of examples where the stacky version of the conjecture can be checked directly using the naive height function.

Core claim

We show that the stacky Batyrev--Manin conjecture holds for the naive height on X_0(N) when F=Q, for N in the set where the coarse moduli space is P^1. In the process, we give a concrete description of X_0(N) as a square root stack over a stacky curve.

What carries the argument

The description of the modular stack X_0(N) as a square root stack over a stacky curve, which reduces the height counting problem to a known case on a curve with stack structure.

If this is right

  • The asymptotic distribution of rational points of bounded naive height on these stacks matches the prediction of the stacky Batyrev-Manin conjecture.
  • The conjecture is verified in a setting that includes stacky points corresponding to elliptic curves with extra automorphisms.
  • This gives explicit constants and leading terms in the counting function for these modular stacks over Q.

Where Pith is reading between the lines

These are editorial extensions of the paper, not claims the author makes directly.

  • If the square root stack description generalizes, similar verifications might hold for other modular stacks or Shimura varieties.
  • Counting points on these stacks could inform the distribution of elliptic curves with isogenies of bounded conductor.
  • Extending to other number fields F might require adjusting the height or the stack structure.

Load-bearing premise

The N values are exactly those for which the coarse moduli space of X_0(N) is isomorphic to the projective line and the height used is the naive height on the stack.

What would settle it

A numerical count of points with bounded height on one of these X_0(N) that deviates from the asymptotic formula predicted by the stacky Batyrev-Manin conjecture.

read the original abstract

Let $\mathcal{X}_0(N)$ be the Deligne--Rapoport modular stack of elliptic curves endowed with a cyclic rational $N$-isogeny over a number field $F$. Let $N\in\{1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,12,13,16,18,25\},$ which are precisely the values for which the coarse moduli space of $\mathcal{X}_0(N)$ is isomorphic to $\mathbb{P}^1$. We show that the stacky Batyrev--Manin conjecture [DY24] holds for the naive height on $\mathcal{X}_0(N)$ when $F=\mathbb{Q}$. In the process, we give a concrete description of $\mathcal{X}_0(N)$ as a square root stack over a stacky curve.

Editorial analysis

A structured set of objections, weighed in public.

Desk editor's note, referee report, simulated authors' rebuttal, and a circularity audit. Tearing a paper down is the easy half of reading it; the pith above is the substance, this is the friction.

Referee Report

0 major / 2 minor

Summary. The paper proves that the stacky Batyrev-Manin conjecture of [DY24] holds for the naive height on the Deligne-Rapoport modular stacks X_0(N) over Q, for the 15 values of N where the coarse moduli space is isomorphic to P^1. The proof proceeds by exhibiting each such stack as a square-root stack over a stacky curve with coarse space P^1, reducing the point-counting problem to a standard Manin-type asymptotic on P^1 with an explicit correction factor arising from the stabilizers.

Significance. If the central identification and reduction are correct, the result supplies a concrete, verifiable instance of the stacky Batyrev-Manin conjecture in a family of moduli stacks of independent arithmetic interest. The explicit geometric description as square-root stacks and the reduction to P^1 counts constitute a reusable template and strengthen the evidence for the conjecture beyond the scheme case.

minor comments (2)
  1. [§2] §2 (or the section introducing the square-root stack description): the notation for the root stack construction should be cross-referenced to a standard reference such as Abramovich-Graber-Vistoli to avoid ambiguity in the stabilizer data.
  2. [Introduction] The list of N in the abstract and introduction would benefit from an accompanying table that records, for each N, the order of the stabilizers and the explicit form of the height function used.

Simulated Author's Rebuttal

0 responses · 0 unresolved

We thank the referee for their positive assessment of the manuscript, for recognizing the significance of the result as a concrete instance of the stacky Batyrev-Manin conjecture, and for recommending minor revision. No specific major comments were provided in the report.

Circularity Check

0 steps flagged

No significant circularity; applies external conjecture to explicit geometric cases

full rationale

The derivation applies the stacky Batyrev-Manin conjecture from the external reference [DY24] to the specific Deligne-Rapoport stacks X_0(N) for the listed genus-zero N. It supplies an independent geometric identification of each stack as a square-root stack over a stacky curve with coarse space P^1, reducing the count to a standard Manin asymptotic on P^1 plus an explicit stabilizer correction factor derived from the moduli description. No step equates a prediction to a fitted input by construction, renames a known result, or relies on a load-bearing self-citation chain whose prior result is itself unverified. The listed N and naive height are standard external facts, making the central claim self-contained against the cited conjecture.

Axiom & Free-Parameter Ledger

0 free parameters · 1 axioms · 0 invented entities

Abstract-only review; the main assumptions are the listed N making the coarse space P^1 and the definition of the naive height, both treated as domain facts rather than fitted parameters.

axioms (1)
  • domain assumption The listed N are exactly those for which the coarse moduli space of X_0(N) is isomorphic to P^1
    Stated directly in the abstract as the selection criterion for the cases considered.

pith-pipeline@v0.9.0 · 5436 in / 1170 out tokens · 31108 ms · 2026-05-15T20:25:02.111981+00:00 · methodology

discussion (0)

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