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An empirical $G$-Wishart prior for sparse high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models

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arxiv 1912.03807 v1 pith:2PRVN5GL submitted 2019-12-09 math.ST stat.MEstat.TH

classification math.STstat.MEstat.TH
keywords priorposteriorprecisionsparsestructurewishartempiricalform
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abstract

In Gaussian graphical models, the zero entries in the precision matrix determine the dependence structure, so estimating that sparse precision matrix and, thereby, learning this underlying structure, is an important and challenging problem. We propose an empirical version of the $G$-Wishart prior for sparse precision matrices, where the prior mode is informed by the data in a suitable way. Paired with a prior on the graph structure, a marginal posterior distribution for the same is obtained that takes the form of a ratio of two $G$-Wishart normalizing constants. We show that this ratio can be easily and accurately computed using a Laplace approximation, which leads to fast and efficient posterior sampling even in high-dimensions. Numerical results demonstrate the proposed method's superior performance, in terms of speed and accuracy, across a variety of settings, and theoretical support is provided in the form of a posterior concentration rate theorem.

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  1. Bayesian DAG Structure Learning with Simultaneous Shrinkage Covariance Estimation under Scale-Mixture Error Distributions in the Proportional High-Dimensional Regime

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    R-DACH places a horseshoe prior on the Cholesky factor of a DAG precision matrix plus per-observation scale mixtures, yielding posterior contraction and skeleton consistency in the proportional high-dimensional regime...

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