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Cosmology with one galaxy? -- The ASTRID model and robustness

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arxiv 2304.06084 v1 pith:4EEDROUW submitted 2023-04-12 astro-ph.CO astro-ph.GAastro-ph.IM

classification astro-ph.COastro-ph.GAastro-ph.IM
keywords galaxiesastridcodesdifferentmodelsomegapropertiesrelation
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abstract

Recent work has pointed out the potential existence of a tight relation between the cosmological parameter $\Omega_{\rm m}$, at fixed $\Omega_{\rm b}$, and the properties of individual galaxies in state-of-the-art cosmological hydrodynamic simulations. In this paper, we investigate whether such a relation also holds for galaxies from simulations run with a different code that made use of a distinct subgrid physics: Astrid. We find that also in this case, neural networks are able to infer the value of $\Omega_{\rm m}$ with a $\sim10\%$ precision from the properties of individual galaxies while accounting for astrophysics uncertainties as modeled in CAMELS. This tight relationship is present at all considered redshifts, $z\leq3$, and the stellar mass, the stellar metallicity, and the maximum circular velocity are among the most important galaxy properties behind the relation. In order to use this method with real galaxies, one needs to quantify its robustness: the accuracy of the model when tested on galaxies generated by codes different from the one used for training. We quantify the robustness of the models by testing them on galaxies from four different codes: IllustrisTNG, SIMBA, Astrid, and Magneticum. We show that the models perform well on a large fraction of the galaxies, but fail dramatically on a small fraction of them. Removing these outliers significantly improves the accuracy of the models across simulation codes.

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  1. Tests for model misspecification in simulation-based inference: from local distortions to global model checks

    astro-ph.IM 2024-12 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    A distortion-driven, simulation-based hypothesis-testing framework that unifies anomaly detection and model validation, with analytic links to matched filtering and chi-square tests.

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