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arxiv: 1407.3390 · v1 · pith:62CATMQLnew · submitted 2014-07-12 · 💱 q-fin.TR · cond-mat.stat-mech

Slow decay of impact in equity markets

classification 💱 q-fin.TR cond-mat.stat-mech
keywords impactequitymarketmarketsmeta-ordersquasi-linearsingleaccounts
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Using a proprietary dataset of meta-orders and prediction signals, and assuming a quasi-linear impact model, we deconvolve market impact from past correlated trades and a predictable return component to elicit the temporal dependence of the market impact of a single daily meta-order, over a ten day horizon in various equity markets. We find that the impact of single meta-orders is to a first approximation universal and slowly decays to zero (or to a small value), possibly as a power-law. We show that auto-correlated order-flows and trade information contents fully accounts for the apparent plateau observed in the raw data. We discuss the possible bias introduced by the quasi-linear assumption.

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