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arxiv: 1202.0342 · v1 · pith:6FBBDO4Pnew · submitted 2012-02-02 · 💱 q-fin.ST · physics.comp-ph

On return-volatility correlation in financial dynamics

classification 💱 q-fin.ST physics.comp-ph
keywords return-volatilitycorrelationfinancialdynamicsvolatilitiesdistributioneffectlong-range
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With the daily and minutely data of the German DAX and Chinese indices, we investigate how the return-volatility correlation originates in financial dynamics. Based on a retarded volatility model, we may eliminate or generate the return-volatility correlation of the time series, while other characteristics, such as the probability distribution of returns and long-range time-correlation of volatilities etc., remain essentially unchanged. This suggests that the leverage effect or anti-leverage effect in financial markets arises from a kind of feedback return-volatility interactions, rather than the long-range time-correlation of volatilities and asymmetric probability distribution of returns. Further, we show that large volatilities dominate the return-volatility correlation in financial dynamics.

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