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arxiv: 1711.05052 · v1 · pith:BTLPLJFJnew · submitted 2017-11-14 · ⚛️ physics.soc-ph · cond-mat.stat-mech

Debye-H\"{u}ckel Theory for Refugees' Migration

classification ⚛️ physics.soc-ph cond-mat.stat-mech
keywords refugeescitiesckeldebye-heffectivemigrationmodeltheory
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In this Letter we follow the short-ranged Syrian refugees' migration to Lebanon as documented by the UNHCR. We propose a model inspired by the Debye-H\"{u}ckel theory and show that it properly predicts the refugees' mobility while the gravity model fails. We claim that the interaction between origin cities attenuates and/or extenuates the flux to destinations, and consequently, in analogy with the effective charges of interacting particles in a plasma, these source cities are characterized by effective populations determined by their pairwise remoteness/closeness and defined by areas of control between the fighting parties.

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