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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions

As of 14 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 19 of 19 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2608.10621.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2608.10621 v1

Coverage vector

measured 19 of 19 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.328915Z

measured 19 of 19 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-14T06:32:32.682623+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

19 of 19 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy1
  • unresolved18
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 1bb3a7de-1f5f-4050-a77e-f2a6c3ae0335 · outbound

This paper cites ShieldGemma 2: Robust and Tractable Image Content Moderation.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions ShieldGemma 2: Robust and Tractable Image Content Moderation

Reference 2

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Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.328915Z digest=sha256:fecd623292e38cccf403ade4044411f19865556bb15e65c5cbe68699db2874ce

Observation 495c0843-63a9-48e7-b64e-963c6f5d4328 · outbound

This paper cites arXiv:2504.18564.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions arXiv:2504.18564

Reference 4

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.252331Z digest=sha256:823601156772c4e6813f41c693b3d0f578d80c917b0e9ff40de4aa443e0591ab

Observation 3240d50e-4317-472b-8492-fc0c39bb1435 · outbound

This paper cites In Proceedings of the 2025 Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, 31983–32016.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions In Proceedings of the 2025 Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, 31983–32016

Reference 5

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verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.914016Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-14T06:32:32.682623+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.256956Z digest=sha256:cb01acc6c79e97684fa3595c281025aa1b89aa5d3ff5162cf1bbfede0acad064

Observation f5289892-65ae-4f96-9549-43fb90be8abd · outbound

This paper cites Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know

Reference 6

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Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.261976Z digest=sha256:3eca3f5051a04f3a6c904fd97191896f8147d24778e833d32463595d4e72ebf3

Observation 946ec0d2-675f-4a9a-b234-131600dea20c · outbound

This paper cites Understanding the Effects of RLHF on LLM Generalisation and Diversity.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions Understanding the Effects of RLHF on LLM Generalisation and Diversity

Reference 7

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Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.267009Z digest=sha256:871196693f151c7a9be8c216c812ca6db910ef2ba643f5dda7106e44c5cb947f

Observation d7ebba70-982e-4c33-94db-516b426e44cd · outbound

This paper cites PolyGuard: A Multilingual Safety Moderation Tool for 17 Languages.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions PolyGuard: A Multilingual Safety Moderation Tool for 17 Languages

Reference 8

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.272141Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.272141Z digest=sha256:00b918d6adbdb6d58efd1ecabcec803384f14298d1015b0fe3c22e3caa6c4fb8

Observation 207e9fd0-65dc-4819-8a39-f13d0f0219c1 · outbound

This paper cites arXiv:2506.09996.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions arXiv:2506.09996

Reference 9

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.277192Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.277192Z digest=sha256:6a33ec0730c3429d1990467c80ae011964fcb59ed3827251a7744d344751bdb7

Observation 3c06c521-b0b7-40ef-8884-2df24cd5d024 · outbound

This paper cites YuFeng-XGuard: A Reasoning-Centric, Interpretable, and Flexible Guardrail Model for Large Language Models.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions YuFeng-XGuard: A Reasoning-Centric, Interpretable, and Flexible Guardrail Model for Large Language Models

Reference 10

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.281887Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.281887Z digest=sha256:d09292b3c228f78a70f837a089725aaf578f5eeac15eac1ace35a06f375de16c

Observation 518174ce-d0cf-4fde-a1c2-f0d95fd269c2 · outbound

This paper cites arXiv:2506.10805.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions arXiv:2506.10805

Reference 12

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.292635Z digest=sha256:143d2e1f27d3c15f6956bbc7003dcea35c9a9545d9332f5dd8a44ea1ffcb3d9e

Observation 54a466bc-983e-416f-8d36-cba5664b6ffd · outbound

This paper cites Beyond Linear Probes: Dynamic Safety Monitoring for Language Models.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions Beyond Linear Probes: Dynamic Safety Monitoring for Language Models

Reference 13

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.297142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.297142Z digest=sha256:bb86b61b711fcfb93519a68684f82fe906fa28338dadf60e63f514a5a7402a3e

Observation 15258ecd-328c-47e5-99ee-d10dba8ba14f · outbound

This paper cites DARWIN: Evolving Jailbreak Adversary and Guardrail for LLM Safety Evaluation and Protection.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions DARWIN: Evolving Jailbreak Adversary and Guardrail for LLM Safety Evaluation and Protection

Reference 14

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.302614Z

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.302614Z digest=sha256:bdd1a8812d883c7ac64df2da75d5d7d40271857a40e278138286d5718b5ee345

Observation 64ec90b4-a756-4b10-8827-737fc81ce45f · outbound

This paper cites Gemma 2: Improving Open Language Models at a Practical Size.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions Gemma 2: Improving Open Language Models at a Practical Size

Reference 15

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.308135Z

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.308135Z digest=sha256:124a46aee326140d298ec2b13ecd7edd44536c9562bd4f25435673667e02619c

Observation 219e22f1-8b1a-4a43-a204-39458f4fe9f4 · outbound

This paper cites DataShield: Uncovering Risky Fine-Tuning Data Across LLMs Through Consensus Subspace Alignment.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions DataShield: Uncovering Risky Fine-Tuning Data Across LLMs Through Consensus Subspace Alignment

Reference 16

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.314151Z digest=sha256:8ab505a0a4490d12535a76bc8edde45970f9c8063e84d0773cc684bca35f66b4

Observation c70a672d-257b-4590-aeee-840a931c7a31 · outbound

This paper cites Dynamic Jailbreaking Attack.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions Dynamic Jailbreaking Attack

Reference 17

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.319212Z

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.319212Z digest=sha256:028b79119ddc5cf080dbbeefd5d2a46fb310f755fa6cb1fdee4f0e82ea83630e

Observation 891ef963-16a0-44a6-a12f-731f123013e9 · outbound

This paper cites arXiv:2602.13540.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions arXiv:2602.13540

Reference 18

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.323954Z digest=sha256:41d4360f98ef75384d9f7ad7987327e3e2e312f5fa269d40a669e8fb328f248e

Observation a5891261-3a25-471a-9438-06b7a18c3f9d · outbound

This paper cites Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Words.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Words

Reference 2022

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.287445Z digest=sha256:7134c7edf4217281b2e0bda6f0af5f1585d83fb7e2a148e0fac23afc52ced6bf

Observation aa0bde05-616e-43f4-94e8-d77fa0264896 · outbound

This paper cites The Llama 3 Herd of Models.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions The Llama 3 Herd of Models

Reference 2024

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.242523Z

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.242523Z digest=sha256:be48b7d859d895c284ccd45837e38376ecd086a8201fd14d210d3e14d57aa7c7

Observation 1d5cc140-fad5-4e8b-864d-ed5112c74c3d · outbound

This paper cites gpt-oss-120b & gpt-oss-20b Model Card.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions gpt-oss-120b & gpt-oss-20b Model Card

Reference 2025

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.236219Z

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.236219Z digest=sha256:ea2acd66dd3b79777a2972313f9d8f2cdb77931790874ebbbcc41b5905238269

Observation f3717779-6bdb-480c-86bb-46559091b8f2 · outbound

This paper cites NonTextual Target Attack.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions NonTextual Target Attack

Reference 2026

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.247547Z digest=sha256:4e2e65d2e218242faf93b42e937e93a0c2903a34a8e652920859902d9c36138b

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.