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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions

As of 15 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 19 of 19 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2608.10621.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2608.10621 v1

Coverage vector

measured 19 of 19 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.328915Z

measured 19 of 19 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

19 of 19 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy1
  • unresolved18
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 1bb3a7de-1f5f-4050-a77e-f2a6c3ae0335 · outbound

This paper cites ShieldGemma 2: Robust and Tractable Image Content Moderation.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions ShieldGemma 2: Robust and Tractable Image Content Moderation

Reference 2

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Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.328915Z digest=sha256:ccd91f0a5bc47f9bd8ba0fe0f1607df801a3ca80f1e82cb69191823139f1b4a4

Observation 495c0843-63a9-48e7-b64e-963c6f5d4328 · outbound

This paper cites arXiv:2504.18564.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions arXiv:2504.18564

Reference 4

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.252331Z digest=sha256:d98168846febbfd99a41e96ffad195084db590361f77f38e4984bcdac1e09721

Observation 3240d50e-4317-472b-8492-fc0c39bb1435 · outbound

This paper cites In Proceedings of the 2025 Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, 31983–32016.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions In Proceedings of the 2025 Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, 31983–32016

Reference 5

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verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.914016Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.256956Z digest=sha256:fb9613207f080e0956a94a2cf539704b14b6820b52bf7379cc2b67c9d1325ef4

Observation f5289892-65ae-4f96-9549-43fb90be8abd · outbound

This paper cites Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know

Reference 6

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Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.261976Z digest=sha256:4161494581788ec722c8c52c7d63ac7deeee6cfb8de7f61b3e72b42272066742

Observation 946ec0d2-675f-4a9a-b234-131600dea20c · outbound

This paper cites Understanding the Effects of RLHF on LLM Generalisation and Diversity.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions Understanding the Effects of RLHF on LLM Generalisation and Diversity

Reference 7

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Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.267009Z digest=sha256:a54c1d2c563261a00b0118b45e47bed5013c91c54c2eb89c9b5dbd651e422e28

Observation d7ebba70-982e-4c33-94db-516b426e44cd · outbound

This paper cites PolyGuard: A Multilingual Safety Moderation Tool for 17 Languages.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions PolyGuard: A Multilingual Safety Moderation Tool for 17 Languages

Reference 8

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.272141Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.272141Z digest=sha256:b5cf6bb4c2445ed5d148202432f2e7b96c161441a4b5bc85c97d8fdad5f1313c

Observation 207e9fd0-65dc-4819-8a39-f13d0f0219c1 · outbound

This paper cites arXiv:2506.09996.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions arXiv:2506.09996

Reference 9

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.277192Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.277192Z digest=sha256:9d58519d9d995bd6cac02235ddd552e514a863043dfd675482b608f99d207f46

Observation 3c06c521-b0b7-40ef-8884-2df24cd5d024 · outbound

This paper cites YuFeng-XGuard: A Reasoning-Centric, Interpretable, and Flexible Guardrail Model for Large Language Models.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions YuFeng-XGuard: A Reasoning-Centric, Interpretable, and Flexible Guardrail Model for Large Language Models

Reference 10

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.281887Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.281887Z digest=sha256:83d95a07c33d324f290c88749e6778d114385e4736be1b2165b444d7eb8ce653

Observation 518174ce-d0cf-4fde-a1c2-f0d95fd269c2 · outbound

This paper cites arXiv:2506.10805.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions arXiv:2506.10805

Reference 12

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.292635Z digest=sha256:e4e586d2fc4c325dc73a6bf454d90979e0780126e2d752b24b76eed33253bf1c

Observation 54a466bc-983e-416f-8d36-cba5664b6ffd · outbound

This paper cites Beyond Linear Probes: Dynamic Safety Monitoring for Language Models.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions Beyond Linear Probes: Dynamic Safety Monitoring for Language Models

Reference 13

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.297142Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.297142Z digest=sha256:3804816f6804bdb4e73d1bcf965750d289d4332ea3cbe1052eb144ad5097d1dc

Observation 15258ecd-328c-47e5-99ee-d10dba8ba14f · outbound

This paper cites DARWIN: Evolving Jailbreak Adversary and Guardrail for LLM Safety Evaluation and Protection.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions DARWIN: Evolving Jailbreak Adversary and Guardrail for LLM Safety Evaluation and Protection

Reference 14

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.302614Z

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.302614Z digest=sha256:a84bb92c654f21935e006cc5096a2b8f0cd28290996bb095899f8ae77269763f

Observation 64ec90b4-a756-4b10-8827-737fc81ce45f · outbound

This paper cites Gemma 2: Improving Open Language Models at a Practical Size.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions Gemma 2: Improving Open Language Models at a Practical Size

Reference 15

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.308135Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.308135Z digest=sha256:b290287b7e9fa30da32b0085b10cda17c61abcb3fd1bcd50a6e2899bb24094fc

Observation 219e22f1-8b1a-4a43-a204-39458f4fe9f4 · outbound

This paper cites DataShield: Uncovering Risky Fine-Tuning Data Across LLMs Through Consensus Subspace Alignment.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions DataShield: Uncovering Risky Fine-Tuning Data Across LLMs Through Consensus Subspace Alignment

Reference 16

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Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.314151Z digest=sha256:947a927700525a69e4e62e0e8dce39f42636298d7b9a2d925992cab44b961ce3

Observation c70a672d-257b-4590-aeee-840a931c7a31 · outbound

This paper cites Dynamic Jailbreaking Attack.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions Dynamic Jailbreaking Attack

Reference 17

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.319212Z

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.319212Z digest=sha256:a42bf22810fa12a06ce02200464346dbd92be4a6f33a20d571a99d625bbb712f

Observation 891ef963-16a0-44a6-a12f-731f123013e9 · outbound

This paper cites arXiv:2602.13540.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions arXiv:2602.13540

Reference 18

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.323954Z

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.323954Z digest=sha256:2b112132746c38e1c57ab70cbebcc2e6e40fb4e4656488fc01edc6168b322a1a

Observation a5891261-3a25-471a-9438-06b7a18c3f9d · outbound

This paper cites Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Words.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Words

Reference 2022

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.287445Z digest=sha256:83feb772e7acc81d1451d095da78f807e5a41582bafed04e8459a47be921d529

Observation aa0bde05-616e-43f4-94e8-d77fa0264896 · outbound

This paper cites The Llama 3 Herd of Models.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions The Llama 3 Herd of Models

Reference 2024

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.242523Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.242523Z digest=sha256:873d5119eb612c9f07bf917da8d163b8a209be70040a6e5763c3e9824674db9e

Observation 1d5cc140-fad5-4e8b-864d-ed5112c74c3d · outbound

This paper cites gpt-oss-120b & gpt-oss-20b Model Card.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions gpt-oss-120b & gpt-oss-20b Model Card

Reference 2025

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T20:49:20.236219Z

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.236219Z digest=sha256:2ee421c88012de0cc6879c51cb8a4efc940213b7919a317dfa791e94036b84c9

Observation f3717779-6bdb-480c-86bb-46559091b8f2 · outbound

This paper cites NonTextual Target Attack.

ProbGuard: Calibrated Safety Risk Estimation from LLM Output Distributions NonTextual Target Attack

Reference 2026

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T20:49:20.247547Z digest=sha256:a1a77b7269a73fc0a82700f36b57b16486a0abcf6ee79d48d82a9f44944b912b

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.