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arxiv: 1510.08226 · v10 · pith:FOCMXBCDnew · submitted 2015-10-28 · 🧮 math.ST · stat.TH

Asymptotic expansion of the risk of maximum likelihood estimator with respect to α-divergence as a measure of the difficulty of specifying a parametric model -- with detailed proof

classification 🧮 math.ST stat.TH
keywords divergenceexpansionmodelparametricrespectriskalphaasymptotic
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For a given parametric probability model, we consider the risk of the maximum likelihood estimator with respect to $\alpha$-divergence, which includes the special cases of Kullback--Leibler divergence, the Hellinger distance and $\chi^2$ divergence. The asymptotic expansion of the risk is given with respect to sample sizes of up to order $n^{-2}$. Each term in the expansion is expressed with the geometrical properties of the Riemannian manifold formed by the parametric probability model. We attempt to measure the difficulty of specifying a model through this expansion.

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