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arxiv: 1403.0229 · v3 · pith:IFC3DXYAnew · submitted 2014-03-02 · 🧮 math.ST · stat.TH

Confidence intervals for average success probabilities

classification 🧮 math.ST stat.TH
keywords intervalsaverageconfidenceone-sidedsomesuccessappliedbernoulli
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We provide Buehler-optimal one-sided and some valid two-sided confidence intervals for the average success probability of a possibly inhomogeneous fixed length Bernoulli chain, based on the number of observed successes. Contrary to some claims in the literature, the one-sided Clopper-Pearson intervals for the homogeneous case are not completely robust here, not even if applied to hypergeometric estimation problems.

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