Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal

As of 11 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 52 of 52 outbound references and 1 inbound Pith citation observation for arXiv:2501.14139.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2501.14139 v1

Coverage vector

measured 52 of 52 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.225013Z

measured 53 of 53 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00

measured 1 of 1 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-06T22:30:00.989361Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: pith, observed 2026-08-06T22:30:03.119098Z

Reference resolution

52 of 52 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy29
unresolved23
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 5578be48-78cb-490a-9137-69094275774a · outbound

This paper cites , " * write output.state after.block = add.period write newline.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal , " * write output.state after.block = add.period write newline

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:24.995921Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation fb57a961-2e7e-4aae-b698-a3e054b8b873 · outbound

This paper cites write newline.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal write newline

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.001141Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 9cba26d3-9413-4ba9-bdfe-1519a196bedd · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 3

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.867243Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation d4abe804-bdc4-4688-9df7-821e7e0112a2 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.853091Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation d8670387-f693-4bd8-ba87-feb45e565c85 · outbound

This paper cites Spiegelhalter, 2014: The Norm Chronicles: Stories and Numbers About Danger and Death.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Spiegelhalter, 2014: The Norm Chronicles: Stories and Numbers About Danger and Death

Reference 5

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.840232Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation b6937450-670a-43e9-9dec-e9e2efecac22 · outbound

This paper cites W., 1950: Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal W., 1950: Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability

Reference 6

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.827734Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation cfba487e-002c-4caa-a507-0c42848ca6a4 · outbound

This paper cites Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.026072Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f951d5bb-2a02-406f-a299-cbdf7b50e4f9 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.816107Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 815bd457-c0be-4d09-b32d-69822a49541b · outbound

This paper cites M., and J.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal M., and J

Reference 9

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.804242Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation d3310f7f-9fb1-4e43-b74d-55aba964f400 · outbound

This paper cites Puntoni, and R.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Puntoni, and R

Reference 10

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.792512Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 9150569b-c954-44c6-9bf3-8bcbb3d1e825 · outbound

This paper cites G., 2012: Development and analysis of a probabilistic forecasting game for meteorology students.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal G., 2012: Development and analysis of a probabilistic forecasting game for meteorology students

Reference 11

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.777567Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation abeaa7f0-7928-476b-b4ee-7f607ad8807c · outbound

This paper cites part i: Measures of predictability.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal part i: Measures of predictability

Reference 12

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.762542Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 7e0412ef-ea85-4cb6-8feb-c0d829a6a4fd · outbound

This paper cites Cerebras-GPT: Open Compute-Optimal Language Models Trained on the Cerebras Wafer-Scale Cluster.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Cerebras-GPT: Open Compute-Optimal Language Models Trained on the Cerebras Wafer-Scale Cluster

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.055215Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 5c032e6b-cfbd-43d8-857e-eddf5486b946 · outbound

This paper cites Saito, and H.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Saito, and H

Reference 14

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.748723Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 1470cd61-5d31-4b23-9b77-6705ff89858f · outbound

This paper cites R., and J.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal R., and J

Reference 15

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.734798Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 0a8e96f5-57fd-4184-9b61-6d020be7b0d5 · outbound

This paper cites Lavers, T.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Lavers, T

Reference 16

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.722334Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 94a0cf8c-8373-4711-b31b-f562ba674d11 · outbound

This paper cites Complexity: Metaphors, Models, and Reality, Addison-Wesley.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Complexity: Metaphors, Models, and Reality, Addison-Wesley

Reference 17

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.709981Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation c8fb1e76-0484-4d3d-abc6-3c8515a534a6 · outbound

This paper cites Hertwig, E.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Hertwig, E

Reference 18

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.697225Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation a0d4bc94-0ccc-4f77-a6d2-b1c41d563af8 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.683844Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 297566d6-12f7-49a8-a256-3f3d962a4dc8 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.669669Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 41d1116b-60aa-4419-826b-b2b98819340a · outbound

This paper cites Machine Psychology.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Machine Psychology

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.090883Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c79aa930-894a-406e-9e30-22c2a6adb046 · outbound

This paper cites Pei, and H.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Pei, and H

Reference 22

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.657543Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 21eeca90-b6ba-44aa-b405-3c514d4b0bf4 · outbound

This paper cites Weather Forecast., 15 (5), 559--570.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Weather Forecast., 15 (5), 559--570

Reference 23

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.645204Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 6d956c37-c805-43ad-9c30-96092c179847 · outbound

This paper cites T., and D.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal T., and D

Reference 24

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.633449Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 3557e048-f00d-4ca6-a4c9-9dda44d2451b · outbound

This paper cites Macmillan.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Macmillan

Reference 25

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.621016Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation c3facf37-c46f-40b3-a218-b7fa1871c557 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 26

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.609889Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation fd4f2b49-142b-46c8-8c19-ac95f7e8c638 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 27

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.598551Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 371a1f7d-cfa3-4620-b3df-44181b169e23 · outbound

This paper cites N., 1963: Deterministic nonperiodic flow.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal N., 1963: Deterministic nonperiodic flow

Reference 28

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.586784Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 18944b81-e0ca-4458-87d6-ded25532cdca · outbound

This paper cites J., 2008: Understanding forecast verification statistics.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal J., 2008: Understanding forecast verification statistics

Reference 29

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.575190Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 905d79b4-0fb3-49c6-aaa4-bfd81edecb1f · outbound

This paper cites G., 2019: In favor of logarithmic scoring.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal G., 2019: In favor of logarithmic scoring

Reference 30

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.563512Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation cc572943-e9ba-44ef-90e7-d8f6aa3194d4 · outbound

This paper cites P., 2013: A strategy for verifying Near-Convection-Resolving model forecasts at observing sites.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal P., 2013: A strategy for verifying Near-Convection-Resolving model forecasts at observing sites

Reference 31

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.552916Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation ae042ed3-9f69-4fc2-94e9-9a40640c0c75 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 32

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.540879Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation e3d788bc-c3a3-48ca-8968-deb57554a734 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 33

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.528698Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 13b58f52-2b8b-4f36-9088-3bbfddd1dfc4 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 34

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.517164Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation fee4ea85-56a9-424c-9ddd-165751183ab8 · outbound

This paper cites R., 1980: An Introduction to Information Theory: Symbols, Signals and Noise.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal R., 1980: An Introduction to Information Theory: Symbols, Signals and Noise

Reference 35

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.505452Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation b0a90ace-0255-4419-ab80-31a15b1a4460 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 36

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.493216Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 5403ae2f-82f1-46f5-9165-b8071d1996a6 · outbound

This paper cites Franco-Pedroso, A.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Franco-Pedroso, A

Reference 37

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.480473Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 14d29592-b1c4-448f-a0bc-afcf8c401181 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 38

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.468839Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 9fd44045-c38f-4007-a33a-ea9a068dc1d1 · outbound

This paper cites M., and H.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal M., and H

Reference 39

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.457995Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 7b0ef54f-bae0-46ef-86aa-0beee0f6ef80 · outbound

This paper cites J., 2013: Using evolutionary programming to generate skillful extreme value probabilistic forecasts.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal J., 2013: Using evolutionary programming to generate skillful extreme value probabilistic forecasts

Reference 40

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.445692Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 4c765648-ceb8-4a9c-8b84-0f73909e67ae · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 41

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.433449Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 57a48134-9505-4cf3-8f0c-8a49a4198169 · outbound

This paper cites S., and L.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal S., and L

Reference 42

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.421753Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 0ba06790-6fdd-4900-bdf5-437d0e49688d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 43

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.410070Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 27016439-89f0-40ef-aea3-385814b3d10a · outbound

This paper cites Release Strategies and the Social Impacts of Language Models.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Release Strategies and the Social Impacts of Language Models

Reference 44

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.189113Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 4ec4dfa0-0109-4d92-8883-aab26b215389 · outbound

This paper cites Ahrens, 2012: Generalization of the ignorance score: Continuous ranked version and its decomposition.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Ahrens, 2012: Generalization of the ignorance score: Continuous ranked version and its decomposition

Reference 45

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.397677Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation f3fe358f-fac2-4a5d-bbaf-16f14fbda8fd · outbound

This paper cites Walser, J.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Walser, J

Reference 46

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.384025Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation cc54ea0f-6cf3-4083-98e2-745895cbbbc8 · outbound

This paper cites Ethical and social risks of harm from Language Models.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Ethical and social risks of harm from Language Models

Reference 47

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.202706Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f46fb127-5783-4ba3-9eeb-df4fd430c774 · outbound

This paper cites V., and N.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal V., and N

Reference 48

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.370828Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 8789f840-7c58-470f-9883-f234209a92bf · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 49

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.357251Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 2328bf64-028e-4f67-a894-f980f03e95ad · outbound

This paper cites P., 1997: Chaos theory tamed.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal P., 1997: Chaos theory tamed

Reference 50

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.344640Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation 2ce9fd8e-1862-44c1-9515-a7fc9c4737ef · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Unresolved cited work

Reference 51

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.332835Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Observation d1dbe350-eab3-4e38-9698-c3723d1b85bb · outbound

This paper cites Zakaria, 2019: Explanations for cultural differences in thinking: Easterners' dialectical thinking and westerners' linear thinking.

A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal Zakaria, 2019: Explanations for cultural differences in thinking: Easterners' dialectical thinking and westerners' linear thinking

Reference 52

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T15:29:25.320159Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

Pith citing papers

Observation 1e140c92-fcb0-4b22-aca7-fbf04f399785 · inbound

Intertwined Orders and the Physics of High Temperature Superconductors cites this paper.

Intertwined Orders and the Physics of High Temperature Superconductors A Probabilistic WxChallenge Proposal

Reference 110

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-06T22:30:03.161067Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.