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arxiv 2302.02440 v2 pith:J6B5TU7O submitted 2023-02-05 eess.IV

A Machine Learning Approach to Long-Term Drought Prediction using Normalized Difference Indices Computed on a Spatiotemporal Dataset

classification eess.IV
keywords droughtpredictionwaterapproachdifferencelearninglong-termmachine
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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Climate change and increases in drought conditions affect the lives of many and are closely tied to global agricultural output and livestock production. This research presents a novel approach utilizing machine learning frameworks for drought prediction around water basins. Our method focuses on the next-frame prediction of the Normalized Difference Drought Index (NDDI) by leveraging the recently developed SEN2DWATER database. We propose and compare two prediction methods for estimating NDDI values over a specific land area. Our work makes possible proactive measures that can ensure adequate water access for drought-affected communities and sustainable agriculture practices by implementing a proof-of-concept of short and long-term drought prediction of changes in water resources.

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