Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

As of 18 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 0 of 0 outbound references and 17 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2405.02917.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2405.02917 v1

Coverage vector

measured 0 of 0 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 17 of 17 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00

measured 17 of 17 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-16T04:54:19.511692Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-07-04T12:59:52.886459Z

Reference resolution

0 of 0 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy0
unresolved0
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

No outbound reference observations are available for this paper version.

Pith citing papers

Observation 4bd77b1f-166c-46a3-afd3-8d6de6b2468e · inbound

AdaSwitch: Adaptive Switching between Small and Large Agents for Effective Cloud-Local Collaborative Learning cites this paper.

AdaSwitch: Adaptive Switching between Small and Large Agents for Effective Cloud-Local Collaborative Learning Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 9

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-23T18:48:20.407450Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

Observation e0621f0b-26a2-4cb7-ade2-cb1bacbcd63f · inbound

A Survey on Uncertainty Quantification of Large Language Models: Taxonomy, Open Research Challenges, and Future Directions cites this paper.

A Survey on Uncertainty Quantification of Large Language Models: Taxonomy, Open Research Challenges, and Future Directions Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 66

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-11T20:37:54.739559Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 9dd19933-507a-4be5-8b9a-bf316b60a3d1 · inbound

Pretraining with random noise for uncertainty calibration cites this paper.

Pretraining with random noise for uncertainty calibration Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-11T05:31:20.741505Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 528858d6-e646-40af-aa2d-851d24f2d46f · inbound

Calibrating Uncertainty Quantification of Multi-Modal LLMs using Grounding cites this paper.

Calibrating Uncertainty Quantification of Multi-Modal LLMs using Grounding Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-16T04:54:19.511692Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ecebaa37-a3f8-4971-bca7-bd7d50311e38 · inbound

Are vision language models robust to uncertain inputs? cites this paper.

Are vision language models robust to uncertain inputs? Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T20:52:56.308626Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 7a216edf-40dd-4268-8e17-ed17375f73ad · inbound

Towards Harmonized Uncertainty Estimation for Large Language Models cites this paper.

Towards Harmonized Uncertainty Estimation for Large Language Models Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T14:25:22.373109Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 87379cc9-e676-45fa-9c91-4facdfff5089 · inbound

From Calibration to Collaboration: LLM Uncertainty Quantification Should Be More Human-Centered cites this paper.

From Calibration to Collaboration: LLM Uncertainty Quantification Should Be More Human-Centered Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 30

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T05:38:25.518866Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation d321912e-b547-4446-952b-690dedede69e · inbound

Uncertainty Quantification for Motor Imagery BCI -- Machine Learning vs. Deep Learning cites this paper.

Uncertainty Quantification for Motor Imagery BCI -- Machine Learning vs. Deep Learning Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T18:43:11.825043Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 324a01e3-eebf-4f9b-9774-fdcefc434fc9 · inbound

Post-Completion Learning for Language Models cites this paper.

Post-Completion Learning for Language Models Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:52:15.315509Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 905043ce-46ae-454c-af0d-1afa74abdabb · inbound

Optimizing Active Learning in Vision-Language Models via Parameter-Efficient Uncertainty Calibration cites this paper.

Optimizing Active Learning in Vision-Language Models via Parameter-Efficient Uncertainty Calibration Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T12:46:01.828953Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation fc1439dd-007b-46c1-8a7b-c9f07ade9911 · inbound

Visual-Language-Guided Task Planning for Horticultural Robots cites this paper.

Visual-Language-Guided Task Planning for Horticultural Robots Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 47

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T09:58:56.323219Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 792083d3-559c-4f71-be52-c21469040129 · inbound

SIEVES: Selective Prediction Generalizes through Visual Evidence Scoring cites this paper.

SIEVES: Selective Prediction Generalizes through Visual Evidence Scoring Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 19

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T23:31:16.780201Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

Observation a3889f1d-bfd0-4e65-818c-9db38f5bfe2e · inbound

SIEVES: Selective Prediction Generalizes through Visual Evidence Scoring cites this paper.

SIEVES: Selective Prediction Generalizes through Visual Evidence Scoring Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 19

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-15T06:19:50.029785Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

Observation 326e2d1d-f887-487e-b372-90648d887af3 · inbound

MCMit: Hardware-Software Co-Design for Mid-Circuit Measurement Error Mitigation cites this paper.

MCMit: Hardware-Software Co-Design for Mid-Circuit Measurement Error Mitigation Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 19

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-01T08:45:35.090226Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

Observation f857c91f-72bc-44d1-a9df-2616adab3c9f · inbound

Just how sure are you? Improving Verbalized Uncertainty Calibration in Medical VQA cites this paper.

Just how sure are you? Improving Verbalized Uncertainty Calibration in Medical VQA Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 38

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T12:59:52.887755Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

Observation 71ba7486-6762-478f-8831-a7c35ac78915 · inbound

Small Vision-Language Models Know When They Are Wrong But Cannot Say So: A Two-Model Study of Stated versus Internal Confidence Under Realistic Image Degradation cites this paper.

Small Vision-Language Models Know When They Are Wrong But Cannot Say So: A Two-Model Study of Stated versus Internal Confidence Under Realistic Image Degradation Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-01T06:03:16.970761Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 15c8e9df-6aac-4cef-b6ce-eee9c2ab9832 · inbound

Bigger or Cheaper? Scale and Quantization Effects on Uncertainty Signals in Vision-Language Models Under Image Degradation cites this paper.

Bigger or Cheaper? Scale and Quantization Effects on Uncertainty Signals in Vision-Language Models Under Image Degradation Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Models

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T14:56:08.549295Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.