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Accounting for Multiplicity in Calculating Eta Earth
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abstract
Using the updated exoplanet population parameters of our previous study, which includes the planetary radius updates from Gaia DR2 and an inferred multiplicity distribution, we provide a revised $\eta_{\oplus}$ calculation. This is achieved by sampling planets from our derived population model and determining which planets meet our criterion for habitability. To ensure robust results, we provide probabilities calculated over a range of upper radius limits. Our most optimistic criterion for habitability provides an $\eta_{\oplus}$ value of $0.34\pm 0.02 \frac{\rm planets}{\rm star}$. We also consider the effects of multiplicity and the number of habitable planets each system may contain. Our calculation indicates that $6.4\pm0.5\%$ of GK dwarfs have more than one planet within their habitable zone. This optimistic habitability criterion also suggests that $0.036\pm0.009\%$ of solar-like stars will harbor 5 or more habitable planets. These tightly packed highly habitable system should be extremely rare, but still possible. Even with our most pessimistic criterion we still expect that $1.8\pm0.2\%$ of solar-like stars harbor more than one habitable planet.
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Cited by 1 Pith paper
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The impact of stripped cores on the frequency of Earth-size planets in the habitable zone
Estimates of the frequency of Earth-size planets in the habitable zone of Sun-like stars drop fourfold to eightfold when short-period small planets are excluded from the extrapolation.
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