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arxiv: 1606.01587 · v1 · pith:OSFQSARCnew · submitted 2016-06-06 · 🌌 astro-ph.SR · cs.LG

A Deep-Learning Approach for Operation of an Automated Realtime Flare Forecast

classification 🌌 astro-ph.SR cs.LG
keywords forecastforecastsautomatedflarerealtimeapproachaugustavoiding
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Automated forecasts serve important role in space weather science, by providing statistical insights to flare-trigger mechanisms, and by enabling tailor-made forecasts and high-frequency forecasts. Only by realtime forecast we can experimentally measure the performance of flare-forecasting methods while confidently avoiding overlearning. We have been operating unmanned flare forecast service since August, 2015 that provides 24-hour-ahead forecast of solar flares, every 12 minutes. We report the method and prediction results of the system.

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