Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration

As of 20 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 13 of 13 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2412.18808.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2412.18808 v1

Coverage vector

measured 13 of 13 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.747304Z

measured 13 of 13 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

13 of 13 outbound references displayed

verified exact1
verified fuzzy5
unresolved6
parse uncertain1
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 03110244-9fe9-445a-903a-24f09dffa735 · outbound

This paper cites ,yk ∼ p iid.

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration ,yk ∼ p iid

Reference 1

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.902187Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 0047844a-bbc5-48bd-8edb-572608855357 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration Unresolved cited work

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.890642Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 9fa423d6-e622-47b7-bb50-bc6f0bba7a94 · outbound

This paper cites does not require cast.

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration does not require cast

Reference 3

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.878920Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 5e18e792-e93a-4dec-8716-ca023dd610b6 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration Unresolved cited work

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.867508Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation c61d4afd-6269-4865-ad9a-670de443310a · outbound

This paper cites supergradient.

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration supergradient

Reference 11

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.856872Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 669c82a8-c25f-4f31-962c-e32e9d825676 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration Unresolved cited work

Reference 12

Resolution: parse uncertain; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.846119Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation ffea8722-75ff-4ae8-a512-76f27839c246 · outbound

This paper cites Naive NN.

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration Naive NN

Reference 13

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.834583Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 86f9fa85-d9a0-4bc0-bda0-3a703e15b9f5 · outbound

This paper cites Introducing an Improved Information-Theoretic Measure of Predictive Uncertainty.

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration Introducing an Improved Information-Theoretic Measure of Predictive Uncertainty

Reference 1981

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.706092Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation b2032775-1382-47d6-a649-ac7633649e79 · outbound

This paper cites A survey on uncertainty estimation in deep learning classification systems from a bayesian perspective.ACM Computing Surveys (CSUR), 54(9):1– 35, 2021.

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration A survey on uncertainty estimation in deep learning classification systems from a bayesian perspective.ACM Computing Surveys (CSUR), 54(9):1– 35, 2021

Reference 2018

Resolution: verified fuzzy; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.912743Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 4b177d8a-ce59-474b-9740-fe5915b08a96 · outbound

This paper cites From Predictions to Decisions: The Importance of Joint Predictive Distributions.

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration From Predictions to Decisions: The Importance of Joint Predictive Distributions

Reference 2019

Resolution: verified exact; local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.783065Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

Observation 08e95201-e184-43f6-a05b-45bb0d03deb7 · outbound

This paper cites Second-Order Uncertainty Quantification: Variance-Based Measures.

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration Second-Order Uncertainty Quantification: Variance-Based Measures

Reference 2023

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.711467Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f1418c83-304a-4425-912d-761d1801a435 · outbound

This paper cites Conformal Prediction With Conditional Guarantees.

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration Conformal Prediction With Conditional Guarantees

Reference 2024

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.688088Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1ebb8466-4b37-4c00-946a-67fdd65e19af · outbound

This paper cites Is Epistemic Uncertainty Faithfully Represented by Evidential Deep Learning Methods?.

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration Is Epistemic Uncertainty Faithfully Represented by Evidential Deep Learning Methods?

Reference 2678

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-11T04:37:21.695653Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.