Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy

As of 9 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 0 of 0 outbound references and 8 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2402.19379.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2402.19379 v6

Coverage vector

measured 0 of 0 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 8 of 8 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00

measured 8 of 8 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-08T20:20:35.316355Z

measured 1 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Reference resolution

0 of 0 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy0
unresolved0
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

2
arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Outbound references

No outbound reference observations are available for this paper version.

Pith citing papers

Observation a02b49ae-f3f8-48f0-a000-2b37738fd02b · inbound

LLMs Can Teach Themselves to Better Predict the Future cites this paper.

LLMs Can Teach Themselves to Better Predict the Future Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-08T20:20:35.316355Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 885fe84d-fdfb-486c-a0d3-084051cbba64 · inbound

Bench to the Future: A Pastcasting Benchmark for Forecasting Agents cites this paper.

Bench to the Future: A Pastcasting Benchmark for Forecasting Agents Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T04:43:22.782590Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ff568bad-a2a9-401f-994f-10cc6d869eae · inbound

Prediction Arena: Benchmarking AI Models on Real-World Prediction Markets cites this paper.

Prediction Arena: Benchmarking AI Models on Real-World Prediction Markets Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy

Reference 7

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-14T22:58:14.139852Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00.

Observation ef2bfe82-e3e7-4f4e-9b7c-820d74b72aef · inbound

Extrapolating Volition with Recursive Information Markets cites this paper.

Extrapolating Volition with Recursive Information Markets Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy

Reference 38

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-10T17:20:38.285287Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00.

Observation 9546b582-840d-4d2f-87c4-9d1e4ee504fe · inbound

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs cites this paper.

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy

Reference 38

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T12:06:01.510344Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00.

Observation d87c2d1c-b7f4-469d-ba55-6a29dd33031a · inbound

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs cites this paper.

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy

Reference 38

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T19:33:20.775008Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 6447e4ad-4479-489c-8e90-80363fc598ba · inbound

ClinQueryAgent: A Conversational Agent for Population Health Management cites this paper.

ClinQueryAgent: A Conversational Agent for Population Health Management Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy

Reference 264

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-21T01:33:55.525065Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00.

Observation e6147288-aae9-4c38-b8f1-cdd77c8ff83d · inbound

Partition, Prompt, Aggregate: Statistical Self-Consistency in Language Models cites this paper.

Partition, Prompt, Aggregate: Statistical Self-Consistency in Language Models Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy

Reference 25

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-01T23:43:05.797461Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.