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arxiv 2105.00879 v5 pith:PFB25DLH submitted 2021-05-03 econ.EM stat.ME

Identification and Estimation of Average Causal Effects in Fixed Effects Logit Models

classification econ.EM stat.ME
keywords effectsaverageboundsapproachescausalestimationfixedidentification
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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This paper studies identification and estimation of average causal effects, such as average marginal or treatment effects, in fixed effects logit models with short panels. Relating the identified set of these effects to an extremal moment problem, we first show how to obtain sharp bounds on such effects simply, without any optimization. We also consider even simpler outer bounds, which, contrary to the sharp bounds, do not require any first-step nonparametric estimators. We build confidence intervals based on these two approaches and show their asymptotic validity. Monte Carlo simulations suggest that both approaches work well in practice, the second being typically competitive in terms of interval length. Finally, we show that our method is also useful to measure treatment effect heterogeneity.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

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  1. Approximate Operator Inversion for Average Effects in Nonlinear Panel Models

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    AOI approximately inverts the likelihood mapping from fixed effects to outcomes to produce an estimator whose bias vanishes exponentially in T with double robustness.

  2. Sufficient Statistics for Markovian Feedback Processes and Unobserved Heterogeneity in Dynamic Panel Logit Models

    econ.EM 2025-11 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    Derives sufficient statistics for feedback and heterogeneity in dynamic panel logit models, proves conditional likelihood identification is infeasible for Markov covariates, and proposes two assumptions to restore ide...