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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models

As of 22 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 32 of 32 outbound references and 1 inbound Pith citation observation for arXiv:2502.08858.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2502.08858 v1

Coverage vector

measured 32 of 32 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.700215Z

measured 33 of 33 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00

measured 1 of 1 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-05-11T01:39:50.275352Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-05-11T01:40:51.683464Z

Reference resolution

32 of 32 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy23
  • unresolved9
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  • malformed identifier0
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External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation d04a81eb-a610-4ff6-8d9c-419936433512 · outbound

This paper cites Probabilistic counterfactuals: semantics, computation, and applications.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Probabilistic counterfactuals: semantics, computation, and applications

Reference 1

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.152800Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.589713Z digest=sha256:402dc0175f8e5d5fc8478a3a62621d5085190679787f3f9031a3ea92f1594995

Observation 5d6eafe5-2c38-433b-a406-3877f5f37028 · outbound

This paper cites Random search for hyper-parameter optimization.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Random search for hyper-parameter optimization

Reference 2

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.141119Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.594045Z digest=sha256:eb096c7aed18469e20c87196c7b22a72cab5102c04eeb3c6c536c52bb28c2e0f

Observation 02839eb3-acba-4653-97fe-b256c0cfc7d5 · outbound

This paper cites Support-vector networks.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Support-vector networks

Reference 3

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.597844Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.597844Z digest=sha256:e29c4c8a4efd67fa1b59bfdb4f6521d104e79178a4a805b6f7491595d080e824

Observation 946d25e4-cc2c-4fb4-9336-64c3ab89e267 · outbound

This paper cites The probability of causation.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models The probability of causation

Reference 4

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.121925Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.601869Z digest=sha256:71eff49083d9894579a843f260b088d48a66cd781b5205f1edc0e5b8f88b8760

Observation e63dfaee-8399-4afd-b8a5-589618094b29 · outbound

This paper cites Friedman.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Friedman

Reference 5

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.605591Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.605591Z digest=sha256:c5d3a2bb0d02bed66eb34e0871543c85aa6c1c4b34491be27fee8e82232b7b63

Observation 8f8a5cb4-4993-4583-92ef-d022201b4780 · outbound

This paper cites An axiomatic characterization of causal counterfactuals.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models An axiomatic characterization of causal counterfactuals

Reference 6

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.110794Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.609513Z digest=sha256:11f40ca25bec95e74e4b41cf7b97b7e500aec6dbdeba55066b66754010b7b430

Observation 35d0ec88-c2c3-42ba-af02-100cb1ca2151 · outbound

This paper cites Axiomatizing causal reasoning.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Axiomatizing causal reasoning

Reference 7

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.099848Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.613631Z digest=sha256:09c63641af86c6d5bc92e4f279a719d9c6899023795b87a92720396ca01c0958

Observation 5a564768-76a2-4375-90f9-c564c892b139 · outbound

This paper cites Causal analysis after haavelmo.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causal analysis after haavelmo

Reference 8

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.088830Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.617138Z digest=sha256:df27177fbcb28e979640cdf1f5f4fa650b6e646690dd4f28956920c83096b2ef

Observation 0a3de745-3c00-4567-94b7-0559f6e33a59 · outbound

This paper cites Random decision forests.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Random decision forests

Reference 9

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.077151Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.620556Z digest=sha256:4b9c7f5f438bfd28c9cfb9afc6ee562b82cfc76756b83d07a9c1d8f138e23558

Observation b9be32a1-e3a8-4f43-9eb1-d3ba30af6c63 · outbound

This paper cites Causal inference in statistics, social, and biomedical sciences.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causal inference in statistics, social, and biomedical sciences

Reference 10

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.623871Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.623871Z digest=sha256:998d67fe320d00641a8a723ee62d22513f2c0503e6ba7a9fabbc0f691f3f37dc

Observation a60387de-82b6-4d62-b936-627971a02b18 · outbound

This paper cites Unit selection based on counterfactual logic.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Unit selection based on counterfactual logic

Reference 11

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.058097Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.627082Z digest=sha256:aae116ea8e52e49afb27752f1a15d3fa99b5148a561ce17705599ab10e920b9d

Observation f54c74a2-82b6-4927-b1c8-ce0a8c5bf324 · outbound

This paper cites Probabilities of causation: Role of observational data.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Probabilities of causation: Role of observational data

Reference 12

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.047006Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.630614Z digest=sha256:c662e66f1024f67a9ddacbc2d87e82e0ac1de6f932f88d05c94c53aa2852c589

Observation e1735b38-c14c-40fe-8b97-0456a99659d1 · outbound

This paper cites Probabilities of causation with nonbinary treatment and effect.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Probabilities of causation with nonbinary treatment and effect

Reference 13

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.035302Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.634149Z digest=sha256:80dcab5fb3a1ba8b1f78b9259baf46d377991a9a2c98eb97295e4ff0c7597ae7

Observation 4ef20655-3ada-447f-9ce9-830ba835d6c9 · outbound

This paper cites Unit selection with nonbinary treatment and effect.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Unit selection with nonbinary treatment and effect

Reference 14

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.023226Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.637665Z digest=sha256:af3fbcfc9e41c03a6316878d8bca042881217b62756396c3efe1a24b66007921

Observation 4839ca54-01fc-4b7e-b179-cf2afc222aee · outbound

This paper cites Chen, Jingzheng Qin, and Zhen Qin.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Chen, Jingzheng Qin, and Zhen Qin

Reference 15

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.011339Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.640902Z digest=sha256:e69e37979143e77cb9e8ac917810d1e9fdf36e867964705e16789304c5e0df59

Observation ee8c0328-780c-4e8d-b381-436f93f9580c · outbound

This paper cites Learning Probabilities of Causation from Finite Population Data.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Learning Probabilities of Causation from Finite Population Data

Reference 16

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.644341Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.644341Z digest=sha256:940d3d1b23d435426155ccc943cc7bce5ece83437a838eac906a2e829533483f

Observation 0942ef7c-e35a-4b9b-8587-c8df019d7aff · outbound

This paper cites Unit selection: Learning benefit function from finite population data.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Unit selection: Learning benefit function from finite population data

Reference 17

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.999676Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.648136Z digest=sha256:f1a844a7133854ecb5073cef012c09b2206efaef196ef9268254804379313d5b

Observation 33b61e5c-7650-467b-8909-55c3b1c35782 · outbound

This paper cites Probabilities of causation: Adequate size of experimental and observational samples.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Probabilities of causation: Adequate size of experimental and observational samples

Reference 18

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.988041Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.651779Z digest=sha256:57dc043937230e06af314a8b4e260cdf265d75477e055f911fecc215218d24c5

Observation d7f4a89c-bcf9-436b-8565-227b555f1504 · outbound

This paper cites Rectifier nonlinearities improve neural network acoustic models.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Rectifier nonlinearities improve neural network acoustic models

Reference 19

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.655174Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.655174Z digest=sha256:79a5bedd3551a8a3515b15dc723349dc8d8570b5c1b6ba2ac893f8b60d67667e

Observation cfe4bc50-daeb-4a50-ab88-a0b5466b851c · outbound

This paper cites Mish: A Self Regularized Non-Monotonic Activation Function.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Mish: A Self Regularized Non-Monotonic Activation Function

Reference 20

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.658655Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.658655Z digest=sha256:4e428c217dbd5a815a58ffe1450b8456cc2f2f51fd7df561aa1b1c18e0ac92e4

Observation 7484c896-dfc0-4a2b-8599-f804153c9a74 · outbound

This paper cites Perspective on `harm' in personalized medicine -- an alternative perspective.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Perspective on `harm' in personalized medicine -- an alternative perspective

Reference 21

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.969648Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.662471Z digest=sha256:2051a7ffacd570d8fc6a808b2425d50a5e3a38514751cc13fa4e820232c99a6c

Observation ca4fac38-38d1-4c71-84b9-06668b8fca56 · outbound

This paper cites Causes of effects: Learning individual responses from population data.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causes of effects: Learning individual responses from population data

Reference 22

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.958373Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.665802Z digest=sha256:bf769a9c877908181f9494e5dd334f9d5e5f42ad126afb1fa0e5908089b962d3

Observation 586ad258-937f-4209-88c9-2ff12f36ab67 · outbound

This paper cites Rectified linear units improve restricted boltzmann machines.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Rectified linear units improve restricted boltzmann machines

Reference 23

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.946847Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.669073Z digest=sha256:9a512fa87d689427eea104250ba5ddde495177ace660aa8fd472b52f4a7acb52

Observation ec3a40f5-f2c8-4043-9342-8df8ac771d38 · outbound

This paper cites Aspects of graphical models connected with causality.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Aspects of graphical models connected with causality

Reference 24

Resolution
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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.933963Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.672334Z digest=sha256:6a3297c65496a55563f55bfc9fd4861e0af58510133ebde4787d147164ebb0c5

Observation 062ceca2-d4f3-48f9-9169-6a01a43b547f · outbound

This paper cites Causal diagrams for empirical research.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causal diagrams for empirical research

Reference 25

Resolution
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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.922847Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.675900Z digest=sha256:e849ce564b3e8b69ac9b0755c0c7cf6876d8cbde77600bdda847d7a30c2d8bfa

Observation 97bf9774-7856-43e0-adc8-fff210eba020 · outbound

This paper cites Probabilities of causation: Three counterfactual interpretations and their identification.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Probabilities of causation: Three counterfactual interpretations and their identification

Reference 26

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.911470Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.679340Z digest=sha256:a8f51338761b9a4002a448c785ae7acc41c416aab92bc9fff888777787a81f7e

Observation b3d0f9d2-11bb-4de4-a2be-9c597b1527ec · outbound

This paper cites Causality.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causality

Reference 27

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.899679Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.682828Z digest=sha256:152995c6eb0a5e97516e75cee87e26b66e6791ee18618894dace039bd79b24a5

Observation 90d8e8a7-6ba2-431d-a704-4ccfc1290a65 · outbound

This paper cites Causal Fairness Analysis.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causal Fairness Analysis

Reference 28

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.686521Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.686521Z digest=sha256:a4320e2ed5470981f1ceb40d4b19fcc3758b6ceb61ade81592a1e2fa939af4ba

Observation af0aaf77-5d06-4c0f-a822-237011e6f6c3 · outbound

This paper cites Rumelhart, Geoffrey E.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Rumelhart, Geoffrey E

Reference 29

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unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.690200Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.690200Z digest=sha256:c54fd1d7f30a4232d0d97e308d1c7a3a684a7ecdfb8fbd60a7606e7bc6429166

Observation ad164cf5-1dde-411c-8218-a0f5f8edeb81 · outbound

This paper cites Probabilities of causation: Bounds and identification.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Probabilities of causation: Bounds and identification

Reference 30

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.888414Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.693495Z digest=sha256:65e02811e2101f128960e966ea4c9a5d6ea45afba7759c36f3b101ccdab983ba

Observation 1e667230-8ff3-4d80-a815-1907099b711d · outbound

This paper cites Attention is all you need.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Attention is all you need

Reference 31

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unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.696749Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.696749Z digest=sha256:c5ede417cc2ed3cfc7db9058e4782c29e8a202e624c99e90a5ab4d13611421d4

Observation f9ce8791-2f65-44f7-a825-ec3a4effc8ca · outbound

This paper cites Causal ai framework for unit selection in optimizing electric vehicle procurement.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causal ai framework for unit selection in optimizing electric vehicle procurement

Reference 32

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.869464Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.700215Z digest=sha256:94f9240df1d1829429f8e7b3122ac56d7e398c0fb48f18519f4058c75f02ecba

Pith citing papers

Observation c9680a1f-b0d0-43c3-94c7-9c63763b88f6 · inbound

Causal EpiNets: Precision-corrected Bounds on Individual Treatment Effects using Epistemic Neural Networks cites this paper.

Causal EpiNets: Precision-corrected Bounds on Individual Treatment Effects using Epistemic Neural Networks Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models

Reference 49

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arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T01:40:51.685120Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-05-11T01:39:50.275352Z digest=sha256:ef6b5907e2e89f243e1e99807615f3161e5bd77c6a784fba001a2c7c9297ae6f