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Simulation-Based Inference Benchmark for Weak Lensing Cosmology

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arxiv 2409.17975 v2 pith:S6YS67FV submitted 2024-09-26 astro-ph.CO astro-ph.IM

classification astro-ph.COastro-ph.IM
keywords inferencefull-fieldimplicitsimulationsexplicitforwardmodelnumber
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Standard cosmological analysis, which relies on two-point statistics, fails to extract the full information of the data. This limits our ability to constrain with precision cosmological parameters. Thus, recent years have seen a paradigm shift from analytical likelihood-based to simulation-based inference. However, such methods require a large number of costly simulations. We focus on full-field inference, considered the optimal form of inference. Our objective is to benchmark several ways of conducting full-field inference to gain insight into the number of simulations required for each method. We make a distinction between explicit and implicit full-field inference. Moreover, as it is crucial for explicit full-field inference to use a differentiable forward model, we aim to discuss the advantages of having this property for the implicit approach. We use the sbi_lens package which provides a fast and differentiable log-normal forward model. This forward model enables us to compare explicit and implicit full-field inference with and without gradient. The former is achieved by sampling the forward model through the No U-Turns sampler. The latter starts by compressing the data into sufficient statistics and uses the Neural Likelihood Estimation algorithm and the one augmented with gradient. We perform a full-field analysis on LSST Y10 like weak lensing simulated mass maps. We show that explicit and implicit full-field inference yield consistent constraints. Explicit inference requires 630 000 simulations with our particular sampler corresponding to 400 independent samples. Implicit inference requires a maximum of 101 000 simulations split into 100 000 simulations to build sufficient statistics (this number is not fine tuned) and 1 000 simulations to perform inference. Additionally, we show that our way of exploiting the gradients does not significantly help implicit inference.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

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  1. Comparing explicit likelihood and likelihood-free simulation-based inference for weak lensing cosmic shear

    astro-ph.CO 2026-07 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    On Euclid-like Gaussian mocks, likelihood-free inference stays well-calibrated under emulator error and non-Gaussian summaries, while explicit Gaussian-likelihood inference becomes miscalibrated and can disagree with ...

  2. Savage-Dickey density ratio estimation with normalizing flows for Bayesian model comparison

    astro-ph.CO 2025-06 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    A normalizing flow estimates the normalized marginal posterior in the Savage-Dickey density ratio, enabling Bayes factors for nested models with many extra parameters.

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