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Learning Fast and Slow for Online Time Series Forecasting

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arxiv 2202.11672 v2 pith:TM6IG5WM submitted 2022-02-23 cs.LG stat.ML

classification cs.LGstat.ML
keywords fsnetfastforecastinglearningonlinepatternsadaptationchanges
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal

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The fast adaptation capability of deep neural networks in non-stationary environments is critical for online time series forecasting. Successful solutions require handling changes to new and recurring patterns. However, training deep neural forecaster on the fly is notoriously challenging because of their limited ability to adapt to non-stationary environments and the catastrophic forgetting of old knowledge. In this work, inspired by the Complementary Learning Systems (CLS) theory, we propose Fast and Slow learning Networks (FSNet), a holistic framework for online time-series forecasting to simultaneously deal with abrupt changing and repeating patterns. Particularly, FSNet improves the slowly-learned backbone by dynamically balancing fast adaptation to recent changes and retrieving similar old knowledge. FSNet achieves this mechanism via an interaction between two complementary components of an adapter to monitor each layer's contribution to the lost, and an associative memory to support remembering, updating, and recalling repeating events. Extensive experiments on real and synthetic datasets validate FSNet's efficacy and robustness to both new and recurring patterns. Our code is available at \url{https://github.com/salesforce/fsnet}.

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Forward citations

Cited by 4 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. V-Simba: Unleashing the Architectural Potential of RL in Visual Continuous Control

    cs.LG 2026-08 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    V-Simba, a visual RL architecture combining layer normalization, weight decay, and a distributional critic, matches or outperforms complex baselines on 29 continuous control tasks while using less compute.

  2. On-Device Adaptive Battery Power Prediction for Electric Vehicles

    cs.LG 2026-07 conditional novelty 5.5 of 10

    On-device online and offline adaptation of pretrained time-series models cuts EV battery power forecast MAE by up to 7.49% and 14.88% under seasonal distribution shift on edge hardware.

  3. Dynamic Perturbed Adaptive Method for Infinite Task-Conflicting Time Series

    cs.LG 2025-05 reject novelty 4.0 of 10

    A trunk-branch method for adapting to conflicting time series tasks reports large error reductions on a synthetic benchmark, but the comparison is confounded by unequal adaptation budgets and the theory overclaims rel...

  4. CORAL: Concept Drift Representation Learning for Co-evolving Time-series

    cs.LG 2025-01 reject novelty 4.0 of 10

    CORAL learns block-diagonal kernel self-representation matrices per time window to identify, track, and forecast concept drift in co-evolving time series, with modest reported RMSE gains over baselines.

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