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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey

As of 7 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 16 of 16 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2506.23154.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2506.23154 v1

Coverage vector

measured 16 of 16 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.906266Z

measured 16 of 16 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

16 of 16 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact2
  • verified fuzzy1
  • unresolved10
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier2
  • metadata mismatch1

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 921a0b20-0e0b-4eea-8b5b-6c2997389e0f · outbound

This paper cites Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Models.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Models

Reference 6

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.287683Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.287683Z digest=sha256:763abe98ff76bb40928021ce56141844bb710e19d011033d78cefd8747708a61

Observation 4d0fe8a7-0b93-4743-a45e-a17e4f1714a0 · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Macroeconomics 67, 103266.URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0164070420301907,doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Journal of Macroeconomics 67, 103266.URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0164070420301907,doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j

Reference 7

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malformed identifier
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.338916Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.338916Z digest=sha256:364d66c5b4583e8fa25e11e0e0eaf04b18af952076c0d04e100ed1e99b011baf

Observation 64b4263c-c711-4252-a442-a0ede64fb296 · outbound

This paper cites TimeCMA: Towards LLM-Empowered Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Cross-Modality Alignment.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey TimeCMA: Towards LLM-Empowered Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Cross-Modality Alignment

Reference 8

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.384698Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.384698Z digest=sha256:80738786380ffad4719a1fd0d1d77efdf4ca7902be49400804ced2ba28a7b852

Observation 12e09c67-67cb-4726-9a63-d2b8fc67e563 · outbound

This paper cites On the Risk of Misinformation Pollution with Large Language Models.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey On the Risk of Misinformation Pollution with Large Language Models

Reference 9

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.456154Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.456154Z digest=sha256:2617a1b119dde67924221e2b411c551e8dce91ceddbbaf62fbf249eff0e35e3e

Observation de56e2c9-abc3-436a-b6c5-8273758f3c6e · outbound

This paper cites The Trade-off between Universality and Label Efficiency of Representations from Contrastive Learning.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey The Trade-off between Universality and Label Efficiency of Representations from Contrastive Learning

Reference 10

Resolution
metadata mismatch
local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:50.476976Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.515294Z digest=sha256:88d4a2192582548b6e9cffe9a2bd4792199e76ec065e779924000d1c106dc816

Observation c6dfc558-12c4-4eb7-b41b-f1b1a0b4312d · outbound

This paper cites JMIRMedInform12,e55318.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey JMIRMedInform12,e55318

Reference 12

Resolution
malformed identifier
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.659692Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.659692Z digest=sha256:2a3a4eacf95d667e1f273b7559d83ba7d6d8b39fe2c36c4f4e9718664d03c9de

Observation 601037e6-7528-4aa7-a902-9d368e46e5c5 · outbound

This paper cites LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models

Reference 14

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unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.760925Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.760925Z digest=sha256:7bb80f5140c9893b13b9b44fe29390cd428ccb190a326f2a6783c8c4d57bedcb

Observation ff16ec32-3610-4833-9fa2-9991bb9157d1 · outbound

This paper cites A Continued Pretrained LLM Approach for Automatic Medical Note Generation.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey A Continued Pretrained LLM Approach for Automatic Medical Note Generation

Reference 16

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.906266Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.906266Z digest=sha256:1e0c52d6df153cb814f00bdc6508fbd5b6bfdf247a60b5e34680c3eb03d4ef9a

Observation c5da6faf-eec9-43d9-9be7-9a60ef4ca014 · outbound

This paper cites DeepSeek LLM: Scaling Open-Source Language Models with Longtermism.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey DeepSeek LLM: Scaling Open-Source Language Models with Longtermism

Reference 1969

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.068896Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.068896Z digest=sha256:7d5788fa0a2e661674e9ef7fb485db3f7a066a1e8a659635ca988beda9a47785

Observation e4412dec-f7b1-4e54-978e-1152ff3f3477 · outbound

This paper cites Qwen2.5 Technical Report.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Qwen2.5 Technical Report

Reference 1971

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.842903Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.842903Z digest=sha256:edcf2319a8a5cd391793d1f90cb0c1e03854e575ea5921c490d3be8c7008eb6e

Observation 80e03f36-b50a-4646-9c11-edfb085ccd1b · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Forecasting 23, 405–430.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Journal of Forecasting 23, 405–430

Reference 2004

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:50.075213Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.708222Z digest=sha256:b32e3b1dcdb86de29af9d0e8f8e1a396b0a02946a339ea5238645b80e7e3ac3f

Observation 8faf883c-0f6a-4a14-9e41-a50a104682a4 · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Monetary Economics 60, 967–982.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Journal of Monetary Economics 60, 967–982

Reference 2013

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:50.296298Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:48.970556Z digest=sha256:7c5acdd663bf23798dc36cc3f58f3546c5fb72c9569b8b9ed3af7dd4f1a23159

Observation 68ab8b17-1355-46a4-9b15-41c39b2c5226 · outbound

This paper cites nature 529, 484–489.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey nature 529, 484–489

Reference 2016

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:50.886252Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.582645Z digest=sha256:aa465f75702238823078721d6ff323daac63cd5158eff47a9a9aa9c4fc56bd18

Observation 167bf148-68d9-44c7-b24e-088951e6382b · outbound

This paper cites What Does ChatGPT Make of Historical Stock Returns? Extrapolation and Miscalibration in LLM Stock Return Forecasts.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey What Does ChatGPT Make of Historical Stock Returns? Extrapolation and Miscalibration in LLM Stock Return Forecasts

Reference 2021

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.174593Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.174593Z digest=sha256:29449d3c9e1df2cb56202621f3f448fc25fa1ff7371a3dc80b079c07f518e3f6

Observation e9110dea-3c7e-46e9-86eb-90068127c2b6 · outbound

This paper cites Qwen Technical Report.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Qwen Technical Report

Reference 2023

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.002761Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.002761Z digest=sha256:271691d02f3e233dca6b79deaf879950c9bd0292a006cabc419dc2edc524dd07

Observation a978c508-02a9-481e-9925-982135741f77 · outbound

This paper cites Medical mT5: An Open-Source Multilingual Text-to-Text LLM for The Medical Domain.

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey Medical mT5: An Open-Source Multilingual Text-to-Text LLM for The Medical Domain

Reference 2024

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:52:49.221869Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-06T21:52:49.221869Z digest=sha256:8102499ba865f126c4c2397b7f204c446733eda42b3b5c02d2322d748a86b3c6

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.