Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution?

As of 21 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 28 of 28 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2608.08954.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2608.08954 v1

Coverage vector

measured 28 of 28 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.211934Z

measured 28 of 28 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

28 of 28 outbound references displayed

verified exact5
verified fuzzy0
unresolved22
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch1

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation df31af89-5ac7-4ec5-9b3a-4db905f7eb51 · outbound

This paper cites Predicting.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Predicting

Reference 1

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.519567Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation e217351d-01c3-4d91-8da6-4bc18e666b9f · outbound

This paper cites Strictly.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Strictly

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.073595Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 06faed27-f33d-4a03-a841-2cad74136e25 · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems , author =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems , author =

Reference 3

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.080275Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f734f880-5a27-4bc0-8c5a-d28810e477a7 · outbound

This paper cites , month = apr, year =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? , month = apr, year =

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.085355Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 645532a4-583b-43ed-8cfc-2c91478a95ae · outbound

This paper cites Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society , author =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society , author =

Reference 5

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.476295Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation f00d26e5-ea5e-4af3-855b-8dd34a9a61cb · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Computational Science , author =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Journal of Computational Science , author =

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.096132Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation d2fbc50a-0599-48d4-9770-c1c315039267 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Unresolved cited work

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.101032Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 11b1df9b-3ab6-41bb-81ec-74990c3ab3ea · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems , author =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems , author =

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.105925Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 9c388daf-8e10-4a4c-bb17-a1b477fc5652 · outbound

This paper cites Geophysical Research Letters , author =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Geophysical Research Letters , author =

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.111075Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation cb98d4c1-196b-4dbd-90b1-f86623373039 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Unresolved cited work

Reference 10

Resolution: metadata mismatch; raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.650181Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation 8597c50a-1a98-48ec-b915-c1d3d9884bfa · outbound

This paper cites Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society , author =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society , author =

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.120908Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation e225f712-12b8-4fd1-9280-06d591e1c832 · outbound

This paper cites Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.126421Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 4529cf2d-4d9c-416d-9a5c-74d42096d1d6 · outbound

This paper cites , month = may, year =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? , month = may, year =

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.132423Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation be898099-ee05-4c6b-9bd1-40533b2a0d81 · outbound

This paper cites Geophysical Research Letters , author =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Geophysical Research Letters , author =

Reference 14

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.407218Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation 481a9ad0-ace9-4d55-b814-e6a160b409b0 · outbound

This paper cites Pangu-Weather: A 3D High-Resolution Model for Fast and Accurate Global Weather Forecast.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Pangu-Weather: A 3D High-Resolution Model for Fast and Accurate Global Weather Forecast

Reference 15

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.142723Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 5aa47d59-57ca-4b99-afc6-4ffd1cfcb96b · outbound

This paper cites GraphCast: Learning skillful medium-range global weather forecasting.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? GraphCast: Learning skillful medium-range global weather forecasting

Reference 16

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.148659Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8965b208-32f7-4817-9688-05af80ffb4ac · outbound

This paper cites GenCast: Diffusion-based ensemble forecasting for medium-range weather.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? GenCast: Diffusion-based ensemble forecasting for medium-range weather

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.153740Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 62e8b8c9-f36c-43cc-9663-102ac0561ad0 · outbound

This paper cites Andre and Kwa, Anna and McGibbon, Jeremy and Arcomano, Troy and Clark, Spencer K.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Andre and Kwa, Anna and McGibbon, Jeremy and Arcomano, Troy and Clark, Spencer K

Reference 18

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.158795Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c9584954-da62-4677-bc4a-08b63585a98c · outbound

This paper cites The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction , volume =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction , volume =

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.163832Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 9b8dddd6-3cfc-4ffd-be66-33be0f4c0ba7 · outbound

This paper cites Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society , author =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society , author =

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.168359Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 636df437-cdeb-411a-a698-c67d72fd65d2 · outbound

This paper cites and Becker, Emily and Kirtman, Ben P.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? and Becker, Emily and Kirtman, Ben P

Reference 21

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.312763Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Observation c16d0c95-da2a-4fad-86cf-fbaeea0a98d8 · outbound

This paper cites and Han, Weiqing and Rajagopalan, Balaji and Yanto and Jasinski, Mike , month = jul, year =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? and Han, Weiqing and Rajagopalan, Balaji and Yanto and Jasinski, Mike , month = jul, year =

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.177579Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c5c1315c-d6dd-4f95-8d80-21176ac492a2 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Unresolved cited work

Reference 23

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.182417Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation dc68240c-cb64-472f-8883-095a6c168581 · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Computational Physics , author =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Journal of Computational Physics , author =

Reference 24

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.187880Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0a078c68-875a-4d45-8325-2c7ab5df1d0a · outbound

This paper cites Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application , author =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application , author =

Reference 25

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.192621Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation b01ad251-e892-499c-a818-e9f9d779777b · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems , author =.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems , author =

Reference 27

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.202767Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 720feb23-0843-41b9-b123-2edf823bb537 · outbound

This paper cites AIFS -- ECMWF's data-driven forecasting system.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? AIFS -- ECMWF's data-driven forecasting system

Reference 28

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.206965Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 3f4968ec-da66-477e-9af9-b125f0e22895 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution? Unresolved cited work

Reference 29

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-08-14T04:26:24.248314Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.