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arxiv: cond-mat/0310351 · v1 · pith:WHNU72GKnew · submitted 2003-10-15 · ❄️ cond-mat.stat-mech · q-fin.TR

Modeling of waiting times and price changes in currency exchange data

classification ❄️ cond-mat.stat-mech q-fin.TR
keywords datapricetheorybeenwaitingexchangefittedtimes
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A theory which describes the share price evolution at financial markets as a continuous-time random walk has been generalized in order to take into account the dependence of waiting times t on price returns x. A joint probability density function (pdf) which uses the concept of a L\'{e}vy stable distribution is worked out. The theory is fitted to high-frequency US$/Japanese Yen exchange rate and low-frequency 19th century Irish stock data. The theory has been fitted both to price return and to waiting time data and the adherence to data, in terms of the chi-squared test statistic, has been improved when compared to the old theory.

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