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Contamination Bias in Linear Regressions

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arxiv 2106.05024 v5 pith:WIFJBJXH submitted 2021-06-09 econ.EM stat.ME

classification econ.EMstat.ME
keywords biascontaminationeffectsregressionsaveragesstudiestreatmenttreatments
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We study regressions with multiple treatments and a set of controls that is flexible enough to purge omitted variable bias. We show that these regressions generally fail to estimate convex averages of heterogeneous treatment effects -- instead, estimates of each treatment's effect are contaminated by non-convex averages of the effects of other treatments. We discuss three estimation approaches that avoid such contamination bias, including the targeting of easiest-to-estimate weighted average effects. A re-analysis of nine empirical applications finds economically and statistically meaningful contamination bias in observational studies; contamination bias in experimental studies is more limited due to smaller variability in propensity scores.

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  1. Treatment Effect Estimators as Weighted Outcomes

    econ.EM 2024-11 accept novelty 7.0 of 10

    A general framework derives exact outcome weights for double machine learning and generalized random forest estimators, showing that standard implementations are only scale-normalized rather than fully-normalized.

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